**Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a nighttime low of 9°C in Moscow on August 28, 2026, under partly cloudy conditions with light northerly winds and surface pressure near 756–757 mmHg.** This aligns with model consensus showing radiative cooling limited by cloud cover and modest advection of cooler air from the north, producing a minimum consistent with the 95.5% market-implied probability for exactly 9°C. Historical climatology places the 1991–2020 average low at 11.3°C, so the current setup represents a modest negative anomaly driven by the recent northerly flow rather than extreme cold-air outbreaks. Realistic challenges to this outcome remain limited but include faster-than-expected clearing overnight that enhances longwave radiative loss, pushing readings to 7–8°C, or slight revisions in official station minima once full 24-hour observations are verified. Stronger winds or additional cloud cover could instead hold the low near 10°C, though current guidance assigns these scenarios low probability.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Moscow on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on August 28?
9°C 96%
6°C or below 10%
7°C 9%
8°C <1%
$3,198 Обс.
$3,198 Обс.
Aug 28, 2026
6°C or below
10%
7°C
9%
8°C
1%
9°C
96%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
9°C 96%
6°C or below 10%
7°C 9%
8°C <1%
$3,198 Обс.
$3,198 Обс.
Aug 28, 2026
6°C or below
$177 Обс.
10%
7°C
$115 Обс.
9%
8°C
$911 Обс.
1%
9°C
$236 Обс.
96%
10°C
$190 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$183 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$228 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$30 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$117 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$115 Обс.
<1%
16°C or higher
$897 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a nighttime low of 9°C in Moscow on August 28, 2026, under partly cloudy conditions with light northerly winds and surface pressure near 756–757 mmHg.** This aligns with model consensus showing radiative cooling limited by cloud cover and modest advection of cooler air from the north, producing a minimum consistent with the 95.5% market-implied probability for exactly 9°C. Historical climatology places the 1991–2020 average low at 11.3°C, so the current setup represents a modest negative anomaly driven by the recent northerly flow rather than extreme cold-air outbreaks.
Realistic challenges to this outcome remain limited but include faster-than-expected clearing overnight that enhances longwave radiative loss, pushing readings to 7–8°C, or slight revisions in official station minima once full 24-hour observations are verified. Stronger winds or additional cloud cover could instead hold the low near 10°C, though current guidance assigns these scenarios low probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,198Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a nighttime low of 9°C in Moscow on August 28, 2026, under partly cloudy conditions with light northerly winds and surface pressure near 756–757 mmHg.** This aligns with model consensus showing radiative cooling limited by cloud cover and modest advection of cooler air from the north, producing a minimum consistent with the 95.5% market-implied probability for exactly 9°C. Historical climatology places the 1991–2020 average low at 11.3°C, so the current setup represents a modest negative anomaly driven by the recent northerly flow rather than extreme cold-air outbreaks.
Realistic challenges to this outcome remain limited but include faster-than-expected clearing overnight that enhances longwave radiative loss, pushing readings to 7–8°C, or slight revisions in official station minima once full 24-hour observations are verified. Stronger winds or additional cloud cover could instead hold the low near 10°C, though current guidance assigns these scenarios low probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,198Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a nighttime low of 9°C in Moscow on August 28, 2026, under partly cloudy conditions with light northerly winds and surface pressure near 756–757 mmHg.** This aligns with model consensus showing radiative cooling limited by cloud cover and modest advection of cooler air from the north, producing a minimum consistent with the 95.5% market-implied probability for exactly 9°C. Historical climatology places the 1991–2020 average low at 11.3°C, so the current setup represents a modest negative anomaly driven by the recent northerly flow rather than extreme cold-air outbreaks. Realistic challenges to this outcome remain limited but include faster-than-expected clearing overnight that enhances longwave radiative loss, pushing readings to 7–8°C, or slight revisions in official station minima once full 24-hour observations are verified. Stronger winds or additional cloud cover could instead hold the low near 10°C, though current guidance assigns these scenarios low probability.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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