Current forecasts from sources like the BBC and timeanddate project overnight lows near 12–15°C in Warsaw under mostly clear, high-pressure conditions with light easterly winds, favoring modest radiational cooling. Trader consensus clusters around 11–12°C (combined ~55% implied probability) while assigning notable weight to 7°C or below (~28.5%), reflecting model spread in minimum temperature outcomes driven by small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and dew-point depression. Historical late-August climatology shows average lows near 12°C with occasional dips below 10°C under clear skies, and the tight spread across mid-range buckets underscores uncertainty in exact resolution thresholds ahead of the final 48-hour forecast updates.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Warsaw on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on August 27?
7°C or below 49%
14°C 45%
9°C 43%
10°C 43%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
7°C or below
49%
8°C
26%
9°C
43%
10°C
43%
11°C
29%
12°C
29%
13°C
43%
14°C
45%
15°C
43%
16°C
38%
17°C or higher
2%
7°C or below 49%
14°C 45%
9°C 43%
10°C 43%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
7°C or below
$0 Обс.
49%
8°C
$0 Обс.
26%
9°C
$0 Обс.
43%
10°C
$0 Обс.
43%
11°C
$0 Обс.
29%
12°C
$0 Обс.
29%
13°C
$0 Обс.
43%
14°C
$0 Обс.
45%
15°C
$0 Обс.
43%
16°C
$0 Обс.
38%
17°C or higher
$0 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources like the BBC and timeanddate project overnight lows near 12–15°C in Warsaw under mostly clear, high-pressure conditions with light easterly winds, favoring modest radiational cooling. Trader consensus clusters around 11–12°C (combined ~55% implied probability) while assigning notable weight to 7°C or below (~28.5%), reflecting model spread in minimum temperature outcomes driven by small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and dew-point depression. Historical late-August climatology shows average lows near 12°C with occasional dips below 10°C under clear skies, and the tight spread across mid-range buckets underscores uncertainty in exact resolution thresholds ahead of the final 48-hour forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources like the BBC and timeanddate project overnight lows near 12–15°C in Warsaw under mostly clear, high-pressure conditions with light easterly winds, favoring modest radiational cooling. Trader consensus clusters around 11–12°C (combined ~55% implied probability) while assigning notable weight to 7°C or below (~28.5%), reflecting model spread in minimum temperature outcomes driven by small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and dew-point depression. Historical late-August climatology shows average lows near 12°C with occasional dips below 10°C under clear skies, and the tight spread across mid-range buckets underscores uncertainty in exact resolution thresholds ahead of the final 48-hour forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from sources like the BBC and timeanddate project overnight lows near 12–15°C in Warsaw under mostly clear, high-pressure conditions with light easterly winds, favoring modest radiational cooling. Trader consensus clusters around 11–12°C (combined ~55% implied probability) while assigning notable weight to 7°C or below (~28.5%), reflecting model spread in minimum temperature outcomes driven by small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and dew-point depression. Historical late-August climatology shows average lows near 12°C with occasional dips below 10°C under clear skies, and the tight spread across mid-range buckets underscores uncertainty in exact resolution thresholds ahead of the final 48-hour forecast updates.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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