**Trader sentiment for Shenzhen's August 25 minimum temperature reflects tight clustering around 26–29°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions.** Official forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows near 26–27°C under overcast skies with isolated thunderstorms, consistent with the market's leading outcomes at 28°C (36%) and 26°C (27%). Persistent cloud cover and high humidity limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while recent thunderstorm activity and weak steering winds reduce the chance of sharper drops. Model spreads arise mainly from variable precipitation timing and exact cloud thickness, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical August averages (lows ~25–26°C) provide context, but current moist, disturbed air mass supports the market-implied range rather than extremes below 25°C or above 30°C. Updated model runs and evening observations on August 24 will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 25?
33°C or higher 46%
28°C 37%
26°C 27%
30°C 26%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
23°C or below
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
10%
26°C
27%
27°C
14%
28°C
37%
29°C
24%
30°C
26%
31°C
10%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
46%
33°C or higher 46%
28°C 37%
26°C 27%
30°C 26%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
23°C or below
$210 Обс.
2%
24°C
$62 Обс.
3%
25°C
$59 Обс.
10%
26°C
$0 Обс.
27%
27°C
$0 Обс.
14%
28°C
$0 Обс.
37%
29°C
$0 Обс.
24%
30°C
$48 Обс.
26%
31°C
$5 Обс.
10%
32°C
$165 Обс.
1%
33°C or higher
$145 Обс.
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Shenzhen's August 25 minimum temperature reflects tight clustering around 26–29°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions.** Official forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows near 26–27°C under overcast skies with isolated thunderstorms, consistent with the market's leading outcomes at 28°C (36%) and 26°C (27%). Persistent cloud cover and high humidity limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while recent thunderstorm activity and weak steering winds reduce the chance of sharper drops. Model spreads arise mainly from variable precipitation timing and exact cloud thickness, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical August averages (lows ~25–26°C) provide context, but current moist, disturbed air mass supports the market-implied range rather than extremes below 25°C or above 30°C. Updated model runs and evening observations on August 24 will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$695Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Shenzhen's August 25 minimum temperature reflects tight clustering around 26–29°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions.** Official forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows near 26–27°C under overcast skies with isolated thunderstorms, consistent with the market's leading outcomes at 28°C (36%) and 26°C (27%). Persistent cloud cover and high humidity limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while recent thunderstorm activity and weak steering winds reduce the chance of sharper drops. Model spreads arise mainly from variable precipitation timing and exact cloud thickness, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical August averages (lows ~25–26°C) provide context, but current moist, disturbed air mass supports the market-implied range rather than extremes below 25°C or above 30°C. Updated model runs and evening observations on August 24 will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$695Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Shenzhen's August 25 minimum temperature reflects tight clustering around 26–29°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions.** Official forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows near 26–27°C under overcast skies with isolated thunderstorms, consistent with the market's leading outcomes at 28°C (36%) and 26°C (27%). Persistent cloud cover and high humidity limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while recent thunderstorm activity and weak steering winds reduce the chance of sharper drops. Model spreads arise mainly from variable precipitation timing and exact cloud thickness, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical August averages (lows ~25–26°C) provide context, but current moist, disturbed air mass supports the market-implied range rather than extremes below 25°C or above 30°C. Updated model runs and evening observations on August 24 will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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