**Trader consensus in this market centers on a 23°C daily minimum for Wuhan on August 29, reflecting the latest numerical weather prediction consensus from regional models.** Persistent southerly flow and high humidity have kept overnight lows elevated through late August, but recent model runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration show a slight nocturnal cooling trend due to increased cloud cover and light northerly winds, pinning the expected minimum near 23°C. Historical climatology for late August places typical lows in the mid-20s°C, so this outcome aligns with observed trends without requiring anomalous conditions. The very low probabilities assigned to 22°C or below or 24°C and higher indicate limited uncertainty in current guidance. A realistic challenge could arise from localized variations in official station readings, a late forecast adjustment from additional observational data, or resolution criteria tied to a specific reporting site.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Wuhan on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on August 29?
23°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$3,300 Обс.
$3,300 Обс.
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$3,300 Обс.
$3,300 Обс.
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
$433 Обс.
No
23°C
$578 Обс.
Yes
24°C
$237 Обс.
No
25°C
$102 Обс.
No
26°C
$200 Обс.
No
27°C
$415 Обс.
No
28°C
$1,065 Обс.
No
29°C
$76 Обс.
No
30°C
$75 Обс.
No
31°C
$60 Обс.
No
32°C or higher
$60 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus in this market centers on a 23°C daily minimum for Wuhan on August 29, reflecting the latest numerical weather prediction consensus from regional models.** Persistent southerly flow and high humidity have kept overnight lows elevated through late August, but recent model runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration show a slight nocturnal cooling trend due to increased cloud cover and light northerly winds, pinning the expected minimum near 23°C. Historical climatology for late August places typical lows in the mid-20s°C, so this outcome aligns with observed trends without requiring anomalous conditions. The very low probabilities assigned to 22°C or below or 24°C and higher indicate limited uncertainty in current guidance. A realistic challenge could arise from localized variations in official station readings, a late forecast adjustment from additional observational data, or resolution criteria tied to a specific reporting site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,300Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus in this market centers on a 23°C daily minimum for Wuhan on August 29, reflecting the latest numerical weather prediction consensus from regional models.** Persistent southerly flow and high humidity have kept overnight lows elevated through late August, but recent model runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration show a slight nocturnal cooling trend due to increased cloud cover and light northerly winds, pinning the expected minimum near 23°C. Historical climatology for late August places typical lows in the mid-20s°C, so this outcome aligns with observed trends without requiring anomalous conditions. The very low probabilities assigned to 22°C or below or 24°C and higher indicate limited uncertainty in current guidance. A realistic challenge could arise from localized variations in official station readings, a late forecast adjustment from additional observational data, or resolution criteria tied to a specific reporting site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,300Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
**Trader consensus in this market centers on a 23°C daily minimum for Wuhan on August 29, reflecting the latest numerical weather prediction consensus from regional models.** Persistent southerly flow and high humidity have kept overnight lows elevated through late August, but recent model runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration show a slight nocturnal cooling trend due to increased cloud cover and light northerly winds, pinning the expected minimum near 23°C. Historical climatology for late August places typical lows in the mid-20s°C, so this outcome aligns with observed trends without requiring anomalous conditions. The very low probabilities assigned to 22°C or below or 24°C and higher indicate limited uncertainty in current guidance. A realistic challenge could arise from localized variations in official station readings, a late forecast adjustment from additional observational data, or resolution criteria tied to a specific reporting site.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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