Recent forecast model runs for Wellington show overnight lows on September 1 clustered around 6–10 °C, reflecting a transitional spring pattern where northerly flow has kept recent minima milder than climatological September averages near 8 °C. Key variables driving the near-even split between “12 °C or higher” and “2 °C or below” outcomes include uncertainty in the timing and strength of an approaching southerly change, variable cloud cover that could suppress radiative cooling, and differences among ensemble members in boundary-layer mixing. Official guidance from MetService and international models (ECMWF, GFS) currently favors minima near 7–8 °C under partly cloudy, breezy conditions, but small shifts in front arrival or wind speed could easily push readings several degrees either way before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Wellington on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on September 1?
12°C or higher 87%
2°C or below 86%
9°C 49%
3°C 47%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
2°C or below
86%
3°C
47%
4°C
47%
5°C
25%
6°C
27%
7°C
29%
8°C
26%
9°C
49%
10°C
8%
11°C
8%
12°C or higher
87%
12°C or higher 87%
2°C or below 86%
9°C 49%
3°C 47%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
2°C or below
$0 Обс.
86%
3°C
$0 Обс.
47%
4°C
$0 Обс.
47%
5°C
$0 Обс.
25%
6°C
$0 Обс.
27%
7°C
$0 Обс.
29%
8°C
$0 Обс.
26%
9°C
$0 Обс.
49%
10°C
$0 Обс.
8%
11°C
$0 Обс.
8%
12°C or higher
$0 Обс.
87%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs for Wellington show overnight lows on September 1 clustered around 6–10 °C, reflecting a transitional spring pattern where northerly flow has kept recent minima milder than climatological September averages near 8 °C. Key variables driving the near-even split between “12 °C or higher” and “2 °C or below” outcomes include uncertainty in the timing and strength of an approaching southerly change, variable cloud cover that could suppress radiative cooling, and differences among ensemble members in boundary-layer mixing. Official guidance from MetService and international models (ECMWF, GFS) currently favors minima near 7–8 °C under partly cloudy, breezy conditions, but small shifts in front arrival or wind speed could easily push readings several degrees either way before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs for Wellington show overnight lows on September 1 clustered around 6–10 °C, reflecting a transitional spring pattern where northerly flow has kept recent minima milder than climatological September averages near 8 °C. Key variables driving the near-even split between “12 °C or higher” and “2 °C or below” outcomes include uncertainty in the timing and strength of an approaching southerly change, variable cloud cover that could suppress radiative cooling, and differences among ensemble members in boundary-layer mixing. Official guidance from MetService and international models (ECMWF, GFS) currently favors minima near 7–8 °C under partly cloudy, breezy conditions, but small shifts in front arrival or wind speed could easily push readings several degrees either way before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs for Wellington show overnight lows on September 1 clustered around 6–10 °C, reflecting a transitional spring pattern where northerly flow has kept recent minima milder than climatological September averages near 8 °C. Key variables driving the near-even split between “12 °C or higher” and “2 °C or below” outcomes include uncertainty in the timing and strength of an approaching southerly change, variable cloud cover that could suppress radiative cooling, and differences among ensemble members in boundary-layer mixing. Official guidance from MetService and international models (ECMWF, GFS) currently favors minima near 7–8 °C under partly cloudy, breezy conditions, but small shifts in front arrival or wind speed could easily push readings several degrees either way before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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