Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a stable high-pressure system over northern Italy through early September, supporting clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds that favor daytime heating in Milan. Ensemble outputs cluster around daily maxima of 29–30°C on September 1, consistent with late-summer climatology and recent observations of 30°C peaks on August 30–31. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon cloud cover, which could shift the precise peak by 1°C. Trader sentiment reflects this tight scientific consensus, with implied probabilities emphasizing the narrow range while acknowledging resolution depends on official station readings that incorporate urban heat effects. Updated model runs and observational data in the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Milan on September 1?
Highest temperature in Milan on September 1?
29°C 41%
30°C 38%
28°C 23%
27°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
10%
28°C
23%
29°C
41%
30°C
38%
31°C
7%
32°C
5%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
4%
29°C 41%
30°C 38%
28°C 23%
27°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
24°C or below
$0 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$0 Обс.
4%
27°C
$0 Обс.
10%
28°C
$148 Обс.
23%
29°C
$18 Обс.
41%
30°C
$80 Обс.
38%
31°C
$33 Обс.
7%
32°C
$0 Обс.
5%
33°C
$0 Обс.
4%
34°C or higher
$0 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a stable high-pressure system over northern Italy through early September, supporting clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds that favor daytime heating in Milan. Ensemble outputs cluster around daily maxima of 29–30°C on September 1, consistent with late-summer climatology and recent observations of 30°C peaks on August 30–31. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon cloud cover, which could shift the precise peak by 1°C. Trader sentiment reflects this tight scientific consensus, with implied probabilities emphasizing the narrow range while acknowledging resolution depends on official station readings that incorporate urban heat effects. Updated model runs and observational data in the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$279Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a stable high-pressure system over northern Italy through early September, supporting clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds that favor daytime heating in Milan. Ensemble outputs cluster around daily maxima of 29–30°C on September 1, consistent with late-summer climatology and recent observations of 30°C peaks on August 30–31. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon cloud cover, which could shift the precise peak by 1°C. Trader sentiment reflects this tight scientific consensus, with implied probabilities emphasizing the narrow range while acknowledging resolution depends on official station readings that incorporate urban heat effects. Updated model runs and observational data in the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$279Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a stable high-pressure system over northern Italy through early September, supporting clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds that favor daytime heating in Milan. Ensemble outputs cluster around daily maxima of 29–30°C on September 1, consistent with late-summer climatology and recent observations of 30°C peaks on August 30–31. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon cloud cover, which could shift the precise peak by 1°C. Trader sentiment reflects this tight scientific consensus, with implied probabilities emphasizing the narrow range while acknowledging resolution depends on official station readings that incorporate urban heat effects. Updated model runs and observational data in the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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