Trader consensus around 30–31°C for Guangzhou’s September 2 high reflects ensemble forecast spreads showing modest day-to-day variability two days out. Subtropical monsoon conditions, recent heavy rainfall, and northerly flow have kept surface heating in check, with models such as GFS and ECMWF projecting afternoon maxima near 30–32°C amid partial cloud cover and light showers that limit insolation. Historical September averages near 33°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture favor slightly cooler outcomes. Market-implied odds remain closely matched because small shifts in timing of convective activity or wind speed can alter the daily peak by 1–2°C; fresh model runs and observational updates through September 1 will likely refine resolution probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 2?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 2?
30°C 27%
31°C 24%
29°C 16%
32°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 2, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
5%
29°C
16%
30°C
27%
31°C
24%
32°C
13%
33°C
7%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 27%
31°C 24%
29°C 16%
32°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 2, 2026
25°C or below
$319 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$81 Обс.
1%
27°C
$17 Обс.
3%
28°C
$204 Обс.
5%
29°C
$88 Обс.
16%
30°C
$75 Обс.
27%
31°C
$25 Обс.
24%
32°C
$419 Обс.
13%
33°C
$208 Обс.
7%
34°C
$920 Обс.
1%
35°C or higher
$58 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 30–31°C for Guangzhou’s September 2 high reflects ensemble forecast spreads showing modest day-to-day variability two days out. Subtropical monsoon conditions, recent heavy rainfall, and northerly flow have kept surface heating in check, with models such as GFS and ECMWF projecting afternoon maxima near 30–32°C amid partial cloud cover and light showers that limit insolation. Historical September averages near 33°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture favor slightly cooler outcomes. Market-implied odds remain closely matched because small shifts in timing of convective activity or wind speed can alter the daily peak by 1–2°C; fresh model runs and observational updates through September 1 will likely refine resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,415Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 30–31°C for Guangzhou’s September 2 high reflects ensemble forecast spreads showing modest day-to-day variability two days out. Subtropical monsoon conditions, recent heavy rainfall, and northerly flow have kept surface heating in check, with models such as GFS and ECMWF projecting afternoon maxima near 30–32°C amid partial cloud cover and light showers that limit insolation. Historical September averages near 33°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture favor slightly cooler outcomes. Market-implied odds remain closely matched because small shifts in timing of convective activity or wind speed can alter the daily peak by 1–2°C; fresh model runs and observational updates through September 1 will likely refine resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,415Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 30–31°C for Guangzhou’s September 2 high reflects ensemble forecast spreads showing modest day-to-day variability two days out. Subtropical monsoon conditions, recent heavy rainfall, and northerly flow have kept surface heating in check, with models such as GFS and ECMWF projecting afternoon maxima near 30–32°C amid partial cloud cover and light showers that limit insolation. Historical September averages near 33°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture favor slightly cooler outcomes. Market-implied odds remain closely matched because small shifts in timing of convective activity or wind speed can alter the daily peak by 1–2°C; fresh model runs and observational updates through September 1 will likely refine resolution probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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