Recent forecasts from models aligned with China Meteorological Administration data indicate a minimum temperature near 24–25°C for Guangzhou on September 1, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and northerly winds moderating overnight radiative cooling in the subtropical monsoon regime. Historical averages place the Sept 1 low at 25.1°C, with recent convective activity suppressing both extremes and keeping values clustered around this baseline rather than pushing toward 30°C+ heat or rare sub-20°C drops. Trader consensus reflected in the 44.5% implied probability for 25°C, alongside elevated odds for 30°C or higher, tracks these ensemble outputs showing mild variability but limited deviation potential before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 1?
30°C or higher 69%
20°C or below 62%
24°C 49%
27°C 49%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
20°C or below
62%
21°C
16%
22°C
24%
23°C
25%
24°C
49%
25°C
45%
26°C
26%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
42%
30°C or higher
69%
30°C or higher 69%
20°C or below 62%
24°C 49%
27°C 49%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Обс.
62%
21°C
$0 Обс.
16%
22°C
$0 Обс.
24%
23°C
$0 Обс.
25%
24°C
$0 Обс.
49%
25°C
$0 Обс.
45%
26°C
$0 Обс.
26%
27°C
$0 Обс.
49%
28°C
$0 Обс.
49%
29°C
$0 Обс.
42%
30°C or higher
$0 Обс.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models aligned with China Meteorological Administration data indicate a minimum temperature near 24–25°C for Guangzhou on September 1, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and northerly winds moderating overnight radiative cooling in the subtropical monsoon regime. Historical averages place the Sept 1 low at 25.1°C, with recent convective activity suppressing both extremes and keeping values clustered around this baseline rather than pushing toward 30°C+ heat or rare sub-20°C drops. Trader consensus reflected in the 44.5% implied probability for 25°C, alongside elevated odds for 30°C or higher, tracks these ensemble outputs showing mild variability but limited deviation potential before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models aligned with China Meteorological Administration data indicate a minimum temperature near 24–25°C for Guangzhou on September 1, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and northerly winds moderating overnight radiative cooling in the subtropical monsoon regime. Historical averages place the Sept 1 low at 25.1°C, with recent convective activity suppressing both extremes and keeping values clustered around this baseline rather than pushing toward 30°C+ heat or rare sub-20°C drops. Trader consensus reflected in the 44.5% implied probability for 25°C, alongside elevated odds for 30°C or higher, tracks these ensemble outputs showing mild variability but limited deviation potential before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models aligned with China Meteorological Administration data indicate a minimum temperature near 24–25°C for Guangzhou on September 1, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and northerly winds moderating overnight radiative cooling in the subtropical monsoon regime. Historical averages place the Sept 1 low at 25.1°C, with recent convective activity suppressing both extremes and keeping values clustered around this baseline rather than pushing toward 30°C+ heat or rare sub-20°C drops. Trader consensus reflected in the 44.5% implied probability for 25°C, alongside elevated odds for 30°C or higher, tracks these ensemble outputs showing mild variability but limited deviation potential before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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