Official observations from Miami International Airport recorded a low of 78°F on September 4, 2026, aligning with the market's overwhelming 98% implied probability for the 78-79°F range. This matches climatological norms, with September daily lows averaging near 77°F and recent days showing comparable values of 75–78°F under typical late-summer conditions of high humidity, light easterly winds, and scattered showers that limited overnight cooling. National Weather Service data confirm no significant frontal passage or unusual atmospheric setup occurred to drive temperatures lower. The strong trader consensus reflects verified station readings rather than forecasts, though minor discrepancies in station selection or rounding protocols could theoretically shift resolution, though such outcomes remain improbable given consistent agency reporting.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Miami on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Miami on September 4?
78-79°F 98%
74-75°F 9%
76-77°F 6%
73°F or below <1%
$7,417 Обс.
$7,417 Обс.
Sep 4, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
98%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 98%
74-75°F 9%
76-77°F 6%
73°F or below <1%
$7,417 Обс.
$7,417 Обс.
Sep 4, 2026
73°F or below
$151 Обс.
<1%
74-75°F
$86 Обс.
9%
76-77°F
$423 Обс.
6%
78-79°F
$1,453 Обс.
98%
80-81°F
$1,772 Обс.
<1%
82-83°F
$1,567 Обс.
<1%
84-85°F
$348 Обс.
<1%
86-87°F
$766 Обс.
<1%
88-89°F
$537 Обс.
<1%
90-91°F
$160 Обс.
<1%
92°F or higher
$155 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Miami International Airport recorded a low of 78°F on September 4, 2026, aligning with the market's overwhelming 98% implied probability for the 78-79°F range. This matches climatological norms, with September daily lows averaging near 77°F and recent days showing comparable values of 75–78°F under typical late-summer conditions of high humidity, light easterly winds, and scattered showers that limited overnight cooling. National Weather Service data confirm no significant frontal passage or unusual atmospheric setup occurred to drive temperatures lower. The strong trader consensus reflects verified station readings rather than forecasts, though minor discrepancies in station selection or rounding protocols could theoretically shift resolution, though such outcomes remain improbable given consistent agency reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$7,417Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Miami International Airport recorded a low of 78°F on September 4, 2026, aligning with the market's overwhelming 98% implied probability for the 78-79°F range. This matches climatological norms, with September daily lows averaging near 77°F and recent days showing comparable values of 75–78°F under typical late-summer conditions of high humidity, light easterly winds, and scattered showers that limited overnight cooling. National Weather Service data confirm no significant frontal passage or unusual atmospheric setup occurred to drive temperatures lower. The strong trader consensus reflects verified station readings rather than forecasts, though minor discrepancies in station selection or rounding protocols could theoretically shift resolution, though such outcomes remain improbable given consistent agency reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$7,417Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from Miami International Airport recorded a low of 78°F on September 4, 2026, aligning with the market's overwhelming 98% implied probability for the 78-79°F range. This matches climatological norms, with September daily lows averaging near 77°F and recent days showing comparable values of 75–78°F under typical late-summer conditions of high humidity, light easterly winds, and scattered showers that limited overnight cooling. National Weather Service data confirm no significant frontal passage or unusual atmospheric setup occurred to drive temperatures lower. The strong trader consensus reflects verified station readings rather than forecasts, though minor discrepancies in station selection or rounding protocols could theoretically shift resolution, though such outcomes remain improbable given consistent agency reporting.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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