**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 26–31°C on September 5 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and brief sunshine periods, driven by moderating west-to-southwest winds and lingering effects from prior continental airflow.** This range centers trader consensus on 30–31°C outcomes, which together exceed 65% implied probability, as models show limited daytime heating from persistent cloud cover and moderate humidity near 70–95%. Recent observations of highs in the upper 20s to low 30s align with this outlook, while any reduction in shower activity or clearer breaks could push readings toward 32°C. Updated HKO guidance and real-time observations ahead of the daily maximum will refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 5?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 5?
31°C 39%
30°C 31%
32°C 20%
29°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 5, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
31%
31°C
39%
32°C
20%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 39%
30°C 31%
32°C 20%
29°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 5, 2026
24°C or below
$167 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$167 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$285 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$327 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$297 Обс.
3%
29°C
$355 Обс.
9%
30°C
$583 Обс.
31%
31°C
$1,571 Обс.
39%
32°C
$906 Обс.
20%
33°C
$493 Обс.
5%
34°C or higher
$172 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 26–31°C on September 5 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and brief sunshine periods, driven by moderating west-to-southwest winds and lingering effects from prior continental airflow.** This range centers trader consensus on 30–31°C outcomes, which together exceed 65% implied probability, as models show limited daytime heating from persistent cloud cover and moderate humidity near 70–95%. Recent observations of highs in the upper 20s to low 30s align with this outlook, while any reduction in shower activity or clearer breaks could push readings toward 32°C. Updated HKO guidance and real-time observations ahead of the daily maximum will refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,324Дата завершення
Sep 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 26–31°C on September 5 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and brief sunshine periods, driven by moderating west-to-southwest winds and lingering effects from prior continental airflow.** This range centers trader consensus on 30–31°C outcomes, which together exceed 65% implied probability, as models show limited daytime heating from persistent cloud cover and moderate humidity near 70–95%. Recent observations of highs in the upper 20s to low 30s align with this outlook, while any reduction in shower activity or clearer breaks could push readings toward 32°C. Updated HKO guidance and real-time observations ahead of the daily maximum will refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$5,324Дата завершення
Sep 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 26–31°C on September 5 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and brief sunshine periods, driven by moderating west-to-southwest winds and lingering effects from prior continental airflow.** This range centers trader consensus on 30–31°C outcomes, which together exceed 65% implied probability, as models show limited daytime heating from persistent cloud cover and moderate humidity near 70–95%. Recent observations of highs in the upper 20s to low 30s align with this outlook, while any reduction in shower activity or clearer breaks could push readings toward 32°C. Updated HKO guidance and real-time observations ahead of the daily maximum will refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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