Northwesterly winds and a transient ridge ahead of an approaching cold front are the main drivers behind trader positioning on Wellington’s September 4 maximum, favoring 17–18 °C outcomes. These flows typically advect milder maritime air across the region while orographic warming on the lee side of the North Island hills can add 1–2 °C to peak readings, pushing afternoon temperatures above the late-winter climatological mean of roughly 13–14 °C. Official guidance shows a 15–16 °C high with showers and gusty northwest winds to 30–40 km/h, yet model spread around frontal timing and cloud cover keeps the precise peak uncertain within a narrow band. With resolution only 48 hours away, any shift in the 12–15 UTC temperature observation at Wellington Aero will decide the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on September 4?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 4?
18°C 44%
17°C 41%
19°C 11%
16°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
4%
16°C
6%
17°C
33%
18°C
44%
19°C
11%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
1%
18°C 44%
17°C 41%
19°C 11%
16°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Обс.
1%
13°C
$64 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$0 Обс.
1%
15°C
$217 Обс.
4%
16°C
$73 Обс.
6%
17°C
$135 Обс.
33%
18°C
$334 Обс.
44%
19°C
$349 Обс.
11%
20°C
$0 Обс.
4%
21°C
$0 Обс.
2%
22°C or higher
$0 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Northwesterly winds and a transient ridge ahead of an approaching cold front are the main drivers behind trader positioning on Wellington’s September 4 maximum, favoring 17–18 °C outcomes. These flows typically advect milder maritime air across the region while orographic warming on the lee side of the North Island hills can add 1–2 °C to peak readings, pushing afternoon temperatures above the late-winter climatological mean of roughly 13–14 °C. Official guidance shows a 15–16 °C high with showers and gusty northwest winds to 30–40 km/h, yet model spread around frontal timing and cloud cover keeps the precise peak uncertain within a narrow band. With resolution only 48 hours away, any shift in the 12–15 UTC temperature observation at Wellington Aero will decide the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,055Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Northwesterly winds and a transient ridge ahead of an approaching cold front are the main drivers behind trader positioning on Wellington’s September 4 maximum, favoring 17–18 °C outcomes. These flows typically advect milder maritime air across the region while orographic warming on the lee side of the North Island hills can add 1–2 °C to peak readings, pushing afternoon temperatures above the late-winter climatological mean of roughly 13–14 °C. Official guidance shows a 15–16 °C high with showers and gusty northwest winds to 30–40 km/h, yet model spread around frontal timing and cloud cover keeps the precise peak uncertain within a narrow band. With resolution only 48 hours away, any shift in the 12–15 UTC temperature observation at Wellington Aero will decide the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,055Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Northwesterly winds and a transient ridge ahead of an approaching cold front are the main drivers behind trader positioning on Wellington’s September 4 maximum, favoring 17–18 °C outcomes. These flows typically advect milder maritime air across the region while orographic warming on the lee side of the North Island hills can add 1–2 °C to peak readings, pushing afternoon temperatures above the late-winter climatological mean of roughly 13–14 °C. Official guidance shows a 15–16 °C high with showers and gusty northwest winds to 30–40 km/h, yet model spread around frontal timing and cloud cover keeps the precise peak uncertain within a narrow band. With resolution only 48 hours away, any shift in the 12–15 UTC temperature observation at Wellington Aero will decide the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання