Forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models indicate a low in the mid- to upper 70s°F for Austin on September 4, 2026, above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 70.9°F. Persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points near 70°F, and limited overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with a slight thunderstorm chance are maintaining the warmth. No strong cold front or clear, dry air mass is expected to arrive in time to drop temperatures into the low 70s or below. Market-implied odds reflect this uncertainty, with traders assigning meaningful probability to both sub-70°F outcomes (possible if models trend cooler) and extremes above 88°F (if heat advection strengthens), while clustering around the 74–83°F range consistent with current guidance. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact minimum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Austin on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Austin on September 4?
69°F or below 69%
88°F or higher 59%
74-75°F 50%
76-77°F 50%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
69°F or below
69%
70-71°F
49%
72-73°F
49%
74-75°F
50%
76-77°F
50%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
49%
82-83°F
49%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
19%
88°F or higher
59%
69°F or below 69%
88°F or higher 59%
74-75°F 50%
76-77°F 50%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
69°F or below
$0 Обс.
69%
70-71°F
$0 Обс.
49%
72-73°F
$0 Обс.
49%
74-75°F
$0 Обс.
50%
76-77°F
$0 Обс.
50%
78-79°F
$0 Обс.
26%
80-81°F
$0 Обс.
49%
82-83°F
$0 Обс.
49%
84-85°F
$0 Обс.
19%
86-87°F
$0 Обс.
19%
88°F or higher
$0 Обс.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models indicate a low in the mid- to upper 70s°F for Austin on September 4, 2026, above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 70.9°F. Persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points near 70°F, and limited overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with a slight thunderstorm chance are maintaining the warmth. No strong cold front or clear, dry air mass is expected to arrive in time to drop temperatures into the low 70s or below. Market-implied odds reflect this uncertainty, with traders assigning meaningful probability to both sub-70°F outcomes (possible if models trend cooler) and extremes above 88°F (if heat advection strengthens), while clustering around the 74–83°F range consistent with current guidance. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models indicate a low in the mid- to upper 70s°F for Austin on September 4, 2026, above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 70.9°F. Persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points near 70°F, and limited overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with a slight thunderstorm chance are maintaining the warmth. No strong cold front or clear, dry air mass is expected to arrive in time to drop temperatures into the low 70s or below. Market-implied odds reflect this uncertainty, with traders assigning meaningful probability to both sub-70°F outcomes (possible if models trend cooler) and extremes above 88°F (if heat advection strengthens), while clustering around the 74–83°F range consistent with current guidance. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models indicate a low in the mid- to upper 70s°F for Austin on September 4, 2026, above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 70.9°F. Persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points near 70°F, and limited overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with a slight thunderstorm chance are maintaining the warmth. No strong cold front or clear, dry air mass is expected to arrive in time to drop temperatures into the low 70s or below. Market-implied odds reflect this uncertainty, with traders assigning meaningful probability to both sub-70°F outcomes (possible if models trend cooler) and extremes above 88°F (if heat advection strengthens), while clustering around the 74–83°F range consistent with current guidance. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact minimum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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