Recent forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a maximum of 21–23°C in London on September 2, driven by southwest flow, extensive low cloud, and scattered light rain or showers that limit surface heating. Persistent overcast conditions and modest wind speeds reduce the likelihood of stronger insolation needed for higher peaks, while minimums near 15–16°C support a modest diurnal range. Model spreads and timing uncertainties around any afternoon clearing explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 21°C (42.5%) and 22°C (25.5%), with 20°C also competitive. Official guidance and observational trends from early September align with these central outcomes rather than extremes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in London on September 2?
Highest temperature in London on September 2?
21°C 43%
22°C 26%
20°C 18%
19°C 6.3%
НОВЕ
$28,148 Обс.
НОВЕ
$28,148 Обс.
Sep 2, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
6%
20°C
18%
21°C
43%
22°C
26%
23°C
6%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 43%
22°C 26%
20°C 18%
19°C 6.3%
НОВЕ
$28,148 Обс.
НОВЕ
$28,148 Обс.
Sep 2, 2026
17°C or below
$3,162 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$2,317 Обс.
1%
19°C
$1,938 Обс.
6%
20°C
$6,094 Обс.
18%
21°C
$4,158 Обс.
43%
22°C
$4,309 Обс.
26%
23°C
$2,222 Обс.
6%
24°C
$1,949 Обс.
2%
25°C
$1,374 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$379 Обс.
<1%
27°C or higher
$245 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a maximum of 21–23°C in London on September 2, driven by southwest flow, extensive low cloud, and scattered light rain or showers that limit surface heating. Persistent overcast conditions and modest wind speeds reduce the likelihood of stronger insolation needed for higher peaks, while minimums near 15–16°C support a modest diurnal range. Model spreads and timing uncertainties around any afternoon clearing explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 21°C (42.5%) and 22°C (25.5%), with 20°C also competitive. Official guidance and observational trends from early September align with these central outcomes rather than extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$28,148Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a maximum of 21–23°C in London on September 2, driven by southwest flow, extensive low cloud, and scattered light rain or showers that limit surface heating. Persistent overcast conditions and modest wind speeds reduce the likelihood of stronger insolation needed for higher peaks, while minimums near 15–16°C support a modest diurnal range. Model spreads and timing uncertainties around any afternoon clearing explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 21°C (42.5%) and 22°C (25.5%), with 20°C also competitive. Official guidance and observational trends from early September align with these central outcomes rather than extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$28,148Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a maximum of 21–23°C in London on September 2, driven by southwest flow, extensive low cloud, and scattered light rain or showers that limit surface heating. Persistent overcast conditions and modest wind speeds reduce the likelihood of stronger insolation needed for higher peaks, while minimums near 15–16°C support a modest diurnal range. Model spreads and timing uncertainties around any afternoon clearing explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 21°C (42.5%) and 22°C (25.5%), with 20°C also competitive. Official guidance and observational trends from early September align with these central outcomes rather than extremes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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