Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate an approaching cold front will moderate temperatures in São Paulo on September 1, shifting from recent highs above 30°C to a likely maximum near 23°C amid increased cloud cover, northwest winds, and a 35–90% chance of showers or thunderstorms. Ensemble spreads and timing uncertainties in frontal passage create a tight distribution, supporting the market's closely matched implied probabilities of 26% for 23°C, 21.5% for 24°C, and 18% for 22°C. Official guidance from sources like the Met Office aligns with this range, while historical September averages near 23°C provide climatological context, though rapid model updates through the final 48 hours could refine outcomes before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 1?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 1?
23°C 26%
24°C 21%
22°C 18%
25°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
20°C or below
3%
21°C
5%
22°C
18%
23°C
26%
24°C
21%
25°C
13%
26°C
5%
27°C
5%
28°C
3%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 26%
24°C 21%
22°C 18%
25°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
20°C or below
$10 Обс.
3%
21°C
$119 Обс.
5%
22°C
$75 Обс.
18%
23°C
$54 Обс.
26%
24°C
$197 Обс.
21%
25°C
$171 Обс.
13%
26°C
$0 Обс.
5%
27°C
$7 Обс.
5%
28°C
$25 Обс.
3%
29°C
$10 Обс.
<1%
30°C or higher
$10 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate an approaching cold front will moderate temperatures in São Paulo on September 1, shifting from recent highs above 30°C to a likely maximum near 23°C amid increased cloud cover, northwest winds, and a 35–90% chance of showers or thunderstorms. Ensemble spreads and timing uncertainties in frontal passage create a tight distribution, supporting the market's closely matched implied probabilities of 26% for 23°C, 21.5% for 24°C, and 18% for 22°C. Official guidance from sources like the Met Office aligns with this range, while historical September averages near 23°C provide climatological context, though rapid model updates through the final 48 hours could refine outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 30, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$678Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 8:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate an approaching cold front will moderate temperatures in São Paulo on September 1, shifting from recent highs above 30°C to a likely maximum near 23°C amid increased cloud cover, northwest winds, and a 35–90% chance of showers or thunderstorms. Ensemble spreads and timing uncertainties in frontal passage create a tight distribution, supporting the market's closely matched implied probabilities of 26% for 23°C, 21.5% for 24°C, and 18% for 22°C. Official guidance from sources like the Met Office aligns with this range, while historical September averages near 23°C provide climatological context, though rapid model updates through the final 48 hours could refine outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$678Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 8:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate an approaching cold front will moderate temperatures in São Paulo on September 1, shifting from recent highs above 30°C to a likely maximum near 23°C amid increased cloud cover, northwest winds, and a 35–90% chance of showers or thunderstorms. Ensemble spreads and timing uncertainties in frontal passage create a tight distribution, supporting the market's closely matched implied probabilities of 26% for 23°C, 21.5% for 24°C, and 18% for 22°C. Official guidance from sources like the Met Office aligns with this range, while historical September averages near 23°C provide climatological context, though rapid model updates through the final 48 hours could refine outcomes before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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