Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and local Turkish meteorological data show Ankara's maximum temperature on August 30 likely peaking near 25–26°C, driving the tight market split between those outcomes. A recent cooling trend tied to northerly winds and increased cloud cover has suppressed daytime heating after warmer conditions earlier in the week, with surface observations indicating highs around 24–27°C on August 28–29. Ensemble guidance highlights modest uncertainty from variable high-level cloud and light winds that could allow brief warming or limit it, while historical August averages near 28–30°C underscore the current anomaly. Updated model runs expected overnight will refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on August 30?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 30?
25°C 42%
26°C 37%
24°C 11%
27°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
11%
25°C
42%
26°C
37%
27°C
10%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 42%
26°C 37%
24°C 11%
27°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
$161 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$195 Обс.
1%
23°C
$106 Обс.
3%
24°C
$485 Обс.
11%
25°C
$829 Обс.
42%
26°C
$389 Обс.
37%
27°C
$331 Обс.
10%
28°C
$131 Обс.
3%
29°C
$235 Обс.
2%
30°C
$225 Обс.
<1%
31°C or higher
$215 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and local Turkish meteorological data show Ankara's maximum temperature on August 30 likely peaking near 25–26°C, driving the tight market split between those outcomes. A recent cooling trend tied to northerly winds and increased cloud cover has suppressed daytime heating after warmer conditions earlier in the week, with surface observations indicating highs around 24–27°C on August 28–29. Ensemble guidance highlights modest uncertainty from variable high-level cloud and light winds that could allow brief warming or limit it, while historical August averages near 28–30°C underscore the current anomaly. Updated model runs expected overnight will refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,301Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and local Turkish meteorological data show Ankara's maximum temperature on August 30 likely peaking near 25–26°C, driving the tight market split between those outcomes. A recent cooling trend tied to northerly winds and increased cloud cover has suppressed daytime heating after warmer conditions earlier in the week, with surface observations indicating highs around 24–27°C on August 28–29. Ensemble guidance highlights modest uncertainty from variable high-level cloud and light winds that could allow brief warming or limit it, while historical August averages near 28–30°C underscore the current anomaly. Updated model runs expected overnight will refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,301Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and local Turkish meteorological data show Ankara's maximum temperature on August 30 likely peaking near 25–26°C, driving the tight market split between those outcomes. A recent cooling trend tied to northerly winds and increased cloud cover has suppressed daytime heating after warmer conditions earlier in the week, with surface observations indicating highs around 24–27°C on August 28–29. Ensemble guidance highlights modest uncertainty from variable high-level cloud and light winds that could allow brief warming or limit it, while historical August averages near 28–30°C underscore the current anomaly. Updated model runs expected overnight will refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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