Recent official and ensemble forecasts for Tel Aviv on September 1 converge on daytime maxima of 31–34 °C under stable high pressure, light northwesterly flow, and mostly clear skies typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Model consensus and local Israeli Meteorological Service guidance center near 32 °C, with a modest warm bias in some global runs pushing isolated 34 °C solutions; historical September averages of ~30–31 °C and the absence of anomalous heat or marine-layer cooling reinforce this narrow range. With resolution less than 48 hours away, the market’s 60.5 % implied probability on 33 °C and 39 % on 32 °C directly reflects this tight forecast envelope and limited upside for outliers.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 1?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 1?
33°C 59%
32°C 40%
31°C 11%
34°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
11%
32°C
40%
33°C
59%
34°C
8%
35°C
5%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 59%
32°C 40%
31°C 11%
34°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
30°C or below
$206 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$10 Обс.
11%
32°C
$184 Обс.
40%
33°C
$696 Обс.
59%
34°C
$0 Обс.
8%
35°C
$0 Обс.
5%
36°C
$5 Обс.
<1%
37°C
$66 Обс.
<1%
38°C
$166 Обс.
<1%
39°C
$266 Обс.
<1%
40°C or higher
$266 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official and ensemble forecasts for Tel Aviv on September 1 converge on daytime maxima of 31–34 °C under stable high pressure, light northwesterly flow, and mostly clear skies typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Model consensus and local Israeli Meteorological Service guidance center near 32 °C, with a modest warm bias in some global runs pushing isolated 34 °C solutions; historical September averages of ~30–31 °C and the absence of anomalous heat or marine-layer cooling reinforce this narrow range. With resolution less than 48 hours away, the market’s 60.5 % implied probability on 33 °C and 39 % on 32 °C directly reflects this tight forecast envelope and limited upside for outliers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,865Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official and ensemble forecasts for Tel Aviv on September 1 converge on daytime maxima of 31–34 °C under stable high pressure, light northwesterly flow, and mostly clear skies typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Model consensus and local Israeli Meteorological Service guidance center near 32 °C, with a modest warm bias in some global runs pushing isolated 34 °C solutions; historical September averages of ~30–31 °C and the absence of anomalous heat or marine-layer cooling reinforce this narrow range. With resolution less than 48 hours away, the market’s 60.5 % implied probability on 33 °C and 39 % on 32 °C directly reflects this tight forecast envelope and limited upside for outliers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,865Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent official and ensemble forecasts for Tel Aviv on September 1 converge on daytime maxima of 31–34 °C under stable high pressure, light northwesterly flow, and mostly clear skies typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Model consensus and local Israeli Meteorological Service guidance center near 32 °C, with a modest warm bias in some global runs pushing isolated 34 °C solutions; historical September averages of ~30–31 °C and the absence of anomalous heat or marine-layer cooling reinforce this narrow range. With resolution less than 48 hours away, the market’s 60.5 % implied probability on 33 °C and 39 % on 32 °C directly reflects this tight forecast envelope and limited upside for outliers.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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