Recent ensemble forecasts from global models highlight modest overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light easterly winds as the key driver for Tel Aviv’s September 1 minimum, with consensus pointing to 23–25 °C. High pressure and low humidity favor efficient heat loss after sunset, yet small differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around these values. Historical early-September minima near 25 °C provide context, while the narrow spread among leading outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in precise model timing and local sea-breeze effects ahead of final observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 1?
25°C 50%
26°C 49%
24°C 35%
19°C or below 31%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
19°C or below
31%
20°C
8%
21°C
22%
22°C
25%
23°C
26%
24°C
35%
25°C
31%
26°C
49%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
26%
25°C 50%
26°C 49%
24°C 35%
19°C or below 31%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
19°C or below
$280 Обс.
31%
20°C
$29 Обс.
8%
21°C
$31 Обс.
22%
22°C
$0 Обс.
25%
23°C
$0 Обс.
26%
24°C
$0 Обс.
35%
25°C
$6 Обс.
31%
26°C
$20 Обс.
49%
27°C
$84 Обс.
1%
28°C
$10 Обс.
2%
29°C or higher
$159 Обс.
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models highlight modest overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light easterly winds as the key driver for Tel Aviv’s September 1 minimum, with consensus pointing to 23–25 °C. High pressure and low humidity favor efficient heat loss after sunset, yet small differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around these values. Historical early-September minima near 25 °C provide context, while the narrow spread among leading outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in precise model timing and local sea-breeze effects ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$599Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models highlight modest overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light easterly winds as the key driver for Tel Aviv’s September 1 minimum, with consensus pointing to 23–25 °C. High pressure and low humidity favor efficient heat loss after sunset, yet small differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around these values. Historical early-September minima near 25 °C provide context, while the narrow spread among leading outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in precise model timing and local sea-breeze effects ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$599Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models highlight modest overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light easterly winds as the key driver for Tel Aviv’s September 1 minimum, with consensus pointing to 23–25 °C. High pressure and low humidity favor efficient heat loss after sunset, yet small differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around these values. Historical early-September minima near 25 °C provide context, while the narrow spread among leading outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in precise model timing and local sea-breeze effects ahead of final observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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