**Forecast consensus for September 1, 2026, centers on a daily maximum of 22–24°C in Paris under stable, partly to mostly cloudy conditions with light westerly winds.** Multiple short-range models (including ECMWF-influenced and GFS outputs referenced in recent briefings) show highs clustering near 23°C, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting at 43% for that outcome and 24% for 24°C. These values sit close to early-September climatological averages for the city (around 24–26°C), with no strong ridge or trough expected to drive significant deviation. Recent model runs through August 30 indicate minimal day-to-day shifts, reflecting typical late-summer Atlantic flow and weak pressure gradients rather than any pronounced warm or cool anomaly. Resolution hinges on official Météo-France or equivalent station readings for the calendar-day maximum; traders are therefore focused on the final 48-hour forecast updates, which could nudge probabilities between the 22–24°C band if boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover evolves differently than currently projected.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on September 1?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 1?
23°C 43%
24°C 24%
22°C 16%
25°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
20°C or below
6%
21°C
7%
22°C
16%
23°C
43%
24°C
24%
25°C
8%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 43%
24°C 24%
22°C 16%
25°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Обс.
6%
21°C
$0 Обс.
7%
22°C
$43 Обс.
16%
23°C
$210 Обс.
43%
24°C
$107 Обс.
24%
25°C
$22 Обс.
8%
26°C
$5 Обс.
2%
27°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
30°C or higher
$0 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for September 1, 2026, centers on a daily maximum of 22–24°C in Paris under stable, partly to mostly cloudy conditions with light westerly winds.** Multiple short-range models (including ECMWF-influenced and GFS outputs referenced in recent briefings) show highs clustering near 23°C, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting at 43% for that outcome and 24% for 24°C.
These values sit close to early-September climatological averages for the city (around 24–26°C), with no strong ridge or trough expected to drive significant deviation. Recent model runs through August 30 indicate minimal day-to-day shifts, reflecting typical late-summer Atlantic flow and weak pressure gradients rather than any pronounced warm or cool anomaly.
Resolution hinges on official Météo-France or equivalent station readings for the calendar-day maximum; traders are therefore focused on the final 48-hour forecast updates, which could nudge probabilities between the 22–24°C band if boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover evolves differently than currently projected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$387Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for September 1, 2026, centers on a daily maximum of 22–24°C in Paris under stable, partly to mostly cloudy conditions with light westerly winds.** Multiple short-range models (including ECMWF-influenced and GFS outputs referenced in recent briefings) show highs clustering near 23°C, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting at 43% for that outcome and 24% for 24°C.
These values sit close to early-September climatological averages for the city (around 24–26°C), with no strong ridge or trough expected to drive significant deviation. Recent model runs through August 30 indicate minimal day-to-day shifts, reflecting typical late-summer Atlantic flow and weak pressure gradients rather than any pronounced warm or cool anomaly.
Resolution hinges on official Météo-France or equivalent station readings for the calendar-day maximum; traders are therefore focused on the final 48-hour forecast updates, which could nudge probabilities between the 22–24°C band if boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover evolves differently than currently projected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$387Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus for September 1, 2026, centers on a daily maximum of 22–24°C in Paris under stable, partly to mostly cloudy conditions with light westerly winds.** Multiple short-range models (including ECMWF-influenced and GFS outputs referenced in recent briefings) show highs clustering near 23°C, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting at 43% for that outcome and 24% for 24°C. These values sit close to early-September climatological averages for the city (around 24–26°C), with no strong ridge or trough expected to drive significant deviation. Recent model runs through August 30 indicate minimal day-to-day shifts, reflecting typical late-summer Atlantic flow and weak pressure gradients rather than any pronounced warm or cool anomaly. Resolution hinges on official Météo-France or equivalent station readings for the calendar-day maximum; traders are therefore focused on the final 48-hour forecast updates, which could nudge probabilities between the 22–24°C band if boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover evolves differently than currently projected.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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