Persistent marine layer from the cold California Current and strong onshore flow, reinforced by an early-September storm system, is suppressing daytime heating across San Francisco on September 3, keeping official highs in the mid-to-upper 60s amid widespread cloud cover, drizzle, and below-normal temperatures. Historical averages near 70°F and the typical September weakening of the marine layer support trader emphasis on the 70–71°F and 68–69°F bins as the most probable outcomes, while lingering storm moisture and persistent stratus reduce odds of reaching 72°F or higher. Updated National Weather Service guidance and model consensus on limited afternoon clearing continue to anchor market-implied probabilities around these thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 3?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 3?
70-71°F 44%
68-69°F 28%
72-73°F 17%
66-67°F 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
28%
70-71°F
44%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 44%
68-69°F 28%
72-73°F 17%
66-67°F 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
61°F or below
$480 Обс.
<1%
62-63°F
$150 Обс.
1%
64-65°F
$217 Обс.
3%
66-67°F
$917 Обс.
6%
68-69°F
$1,297 Обс.
28%
70-71°F
$583 Обс.
44%
72-73°F
$634 Обс.
17%
74-75°F
$1,026 Обс.
3%
76-77°F
$92 Обс.
1%
78-79°F
$190 Обс.
<1%
80°F or higher
$505 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer from the cold California Current and strong onshore flow, reinforced by an early-September storm system, is suppressing daytime heating across San Francisco on September 3, keeping official highs in the mid-to-upper 60s amid widespread cloud cover, drizzle, and below-normal temperatures. Historical averages near 70°F and the typical September weakening of the marine layer support trader emphasis on the 70–71°F and 68–69°F bins as the most probable outcomes, while lingering storm moisture and persistent stratus reduce odds of reaching 72°F or higher. Updated National Weather Service guidance and model consensus on limited afternoon clearing continue to anchor market-implied probabilities around these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 1, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,090Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 7:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer from the cold California Current and strong onshore flow, reinforced by an early-September storm system, is suppressing daytime heating across San Francisco on September 3, keeping official highs in the mid-to-upper 60s amid widespread cloud cover, drizzle, and below-normal temperatures. Historical averages near 70°F and the typical September weakening of the marine layer support trader emphasis on the 70–71°F and 68–69°F bins as the most probable outcomes, while lingering storm moisture and persistent stratus reduce odds of reaching 72°F or higher. Updated National Weather Service guidance and model consensus on limited afternoon clearing continue to anchor market-implied probabilities around these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$6,090Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 7:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Persistent marine layer from the cold California Current and strong onshore flow, reinforced by an early-September storm system, is suppressing daytime heating across San Francisco on September 3, keeping official highs in the mid-to-upper 60s amid widespread cloud cover, drizzle, and below-normal temperatures. Historical averages near 70°F and the typical September weakening of the marine layer support trader emphasis on the 70–71°F and 68–69°F bins as the most probable outcomes, while lingering storm moisture and persistent stratus reduce odds of reaching 72°F or higher. Updated National Weather Service guidance and model consensus on limited afternoon clearing continue to anchor market-implied probabilities around these thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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