Recent cool frontal passage has driven Seattle’s forecast high for September 4 into the mid- to upper-60s °F range, well below the 73 °F climatological average. National Weather Service and private-model consensus shows partly sunny skies with light northwest flow after Wednesday–Thursday showers, limiting daytime heating while marine air keeps the boundary layer cool. This positions 66–69 °F bins as the dominant outcomes in trader consensus, with lower probabilities assigned to 70 °F-plus readings that would require stronger onshore warming or delayed clearing. Updated model runs through early September 3 have remained stable, reinforcing the current implied probabilities ahead of final observational verification.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seattle on September 4?
Highest temperature in Seattle on September 4?
68-69°F 42%
66-67°F 27%
70-71°F 15%
64-65°F 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
59°F or below
1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
4%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
27%
68-69°F
42%
70-71°F
15%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
1%
78°F or higher
1%
68-69°F 42%
66-67°F 27%
70-71°F 15%
64-65°F 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
59°F or below
$0 Обс.
1%
60-61°F
$11 Обс.
2%
62-63°F
$223 Обс.
4%
64-65°F
$69 Обс.
9%
66-67°F
$298 Обс.
27%
68-69°F
$215 Обс.
42%
70-71°F
$61 Обс.
15%
72-73°F
$24 Обс.
6%
74-75°F
$0 Обс.
3%
76-77°F
$0 Обс.
1%
78°F or higher
$0 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cool frontal passage has driven Seattle’s forecast high for September 4 into the mid- to upper-60s °F range, well below the 73 °F climatological average. National Weather Service and private-model consensus shows partly sunny skies with light northwest flow after Wednesday–Thursday showers, limiting daytime heating while marine air keeps the boundary layer cool. This positions 66–69 °F bins as the dominant outcomes in trader consensus, with lower probabilities assigned to 70 °F-plus readings that would require stronger onshore warming or delayed clearing. Updated model runs through early September 3 have remained stable, reinforcing the current implied probabilities ahead of final observational verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 2, 2026, 7:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$900Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 7:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cool frontal passage has driven Seattle’s forecast high for September 4 into the mid- to upper-60s °F range, well below the 73 °F climatological average. National Weather Service and private-model consensus shows partly sunny skies with light northwest flow after Wednesday–Thursday showers, limiting daytime heating while marine air keeps the boundary layer cool. This positions 66–69 °F bins as the dominant outcomes in trader consensus, with lower probabilities assigned to 70 °F-plus readings that would require stronger onshore warming or delayed clearing. Updated model runs through early September 3 have remained stable, reinforcing the current implied probabilities ahead of final observational verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$900Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 7:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent cool frontal passage has driven Seattle’s forecast high for September 4 into the mid- to upper-60s °F range, well below the 73 °F climatological average. National Weather Service and private-model consensus shows partly sunny skies with light northwest flow after Wednesday–Thursday showers, limiting daytime heating while marine air keeps the boundary layer cool. This positions 66–69 °F bins as the dominant outcomes in trader consensus, with lower probabilities assigned to 70 °F-plus readings that would require stronger onshore warming or delayed clearing. Updated model runs through early September 3 have remained stable, reinforcing the current implied probabilities ahead of final observational verification.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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