**Forecast models indicate Toronto's overnight low on September 4 will likely fall in the 15–19°C range, driven by a post-frontal air mass with northwesterly flow and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that allow efficient radiational cooling after daytime highs near 24–26°C.** Environment Canada projects a 15°C minimum under cloudy periods, while other guidance (including hourly runs) clusters near 17–19°C, consistent with the September climatological average low of ~15.7°C. Light winds and dew points in the mid-teens limit further drops, but small differences in cloud cover timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact minimum by 2–4°C. This genuine model spread around the 15–18°C resolution thresholds explains the closely matched market-implied odds near the 13°C and 23°C extremes, with traders assigning roughly equal weight to cooler or milder outcomes pending final observational data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Toronto on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Toronto on September 4?
13°C or below 88%
23°C or higher 88%
16°C 48%
21°C 48%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
13°C or below
88%
14°C
46%
15°C
46%
16°C
48%
17°C
32%
18°C
28%
19°C
27%
20°C
26%
21°C
48%
22°C
48%
23°C or higher
88%
13°C or below 88%
23°C or higher 88%
16°C 48%
21°C 48%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
13°C or below
$0 Обс.
88%
14°C
$0 Обс.
46%
15°C
$0 Обс.
46%
16°C
$0 Обс.
48%
17°C
$0 Обс.
32%
18°C
$0 Обс.
28%
19°C
$0 Обс.
27%
20°C
$0 Обс.
26%
21°C
$0 Обс.
48%
22°C
$0 Обс.
48%
23°C or higher
$0 Обс.
88%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate Toronto's overnight low on September 4 will likely fall in the 15–19°C range, driven by a post-frontal air mass with northwesterly flow and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that allow efficient radiational cooling after daytime highs near 24–26°C.** Environment Canada projects a 15°C minimum under cloudy periods, while other guidance (including hourly runs) clusters near 17–19°C, consistent with the September climatological average low of ~15.7°C. Light winds and dew points in the mid-teens limit further drops, but small differences in cloud cover timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact minimum by 2–4°C. This genuine model spread around the 15–18°C resolution thresholds explains the closely matched market-implied odds near the 13°C and 23°C extremes, with traders assigning roughly equal weight to cooler or milder outcomes pending final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 2, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 8:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate Toronto's overnight low on September 4 will likely fall in the 15–19°C range, driven by a post-frontal air mass with northwesterly flow and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that allow efficient radiational cooling after daytime highs near 24–26°C.** Environment Canada projects a 15°C minimum under cloudy periods, while other guidance (including hourly runs) clusters near 17–19°C, consistent with the September climatological average low of ~15.7°C. Light winds and dew points in the mid-teens limit further drops, but small differences in cloud cover timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact minimum by 2–4°C. This genuine model spread around the 15–18°C resolution thresholds explains the closely matched market-implied odds near the 13°C and 23°C extremes, with traders assigning roughly equal weight to cooler or milder outcomes pending final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 8:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models indicate Toronto's overnight low on September 4 will likely fall in the 15–19°C range, driven by a post-frontal air mass with northwesterly flow and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that allow efficient radiational cooling after daytime highs near 24–26°C.** Environment Canada projects a 15°C minimum under cloudy periods, while other guidance (including hourly runs) clusters near 17–19°C, consistent with the September climatological average low of ~15.7°C. Light winds and dew points in the mid-teens limit further drops, but small differences in cloud cover timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact minimum by 2–4°C. This genuine model spread around the 15–18°C resolution thresholds explains the closely matched market-implied odds near the 13°C and 23°C extremes, with traders assigning roughly equal weight to cooler or milder outcomes pending final observational data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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