**Current numerical weather prediction models show strong consensus for a maximum temperature near 27°C in Paris on September 3, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions.** Forecasts from sources using GFS and ECMWF data indicate highs of 26–28°C, with light west-to-southwest winds, partly cloudy skies, and negligible precipitation risk. This setup features subsidence warming beneath a ridge, keeping conditions drier and slightly warmer than the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 23.3°C for the date. Trader-implied odds reflect this model agreement, with 27°C leading at 37.5% followed by 26°C (27%) and 28°C (18%). Minor spread in outputs arises from differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover timing, but ensembles remain tightly clustered without signals for significant deviation. Updated model runs closer to the event will refine exact peak values, particularly regarding afternoon insolation and any subtle steering changes. Historical extremes for September 3 reach 33.7°C, but current synoptic patterns show no analogs for such outliers.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on September 3?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 3?
27°C 41%
26°C 27%
28°C 19%
25°C or below 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
25°C or below
7%
26°C
27%
27°C
41%
28°C
19%
29°C
7%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
27°C 41%
26°C 27%
28°C 19%
25°C or below 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
25°C or below
$98 Обс.
7%
26°C
$1,408 Обс.
27%
27°C
$252 Обс.
41%
28°C
$182 Обс.
19%
29°C
$205 Обс.
7%
30°C
$176 Обс.
3%
31°C
$5 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$123 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$215 Обс.
<1%
34°C
$381 Обс.
<1%
35°C or higher
$381 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current numerical weather prediction models show strong consensus for a maximum temperature near 27°C in Paris on September 3, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions.** Forecasts from sources using GFS and ECMWF data indicate highs of 26–28°C, with light west-to-southwest winds, partly cloudy skies, and negligible precipitation risk. This setup features subsidence warming beneath a ridge, keeping conditions drier and slightly warmer than the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 23.3°C for the date.
Trader-implied odds reflect this model agreement, with 27°C leading at 37.5% followed by 26°C (27%) and 28°C (18%). Minor spread in outputs arises from differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover timing, but ensembles remain tightly clustered without signals for significant deviation. Updated model runs closer to the event will refine exact peak values, particularly regarding afternoon insolation and any subtle steering changes. Historical extremes for September 3 reach 33.7°C, but current synoptic patterns show no analogs for such outliers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 1, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,426Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current numerical weather prediction models show strong consensus for a maximum temperature near 27°C in Paris on September 3, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions.** Forecasts from sources using GFS and ECMWF data indicate highs of 26–28°C, with light west-to-southwest winds, partly cloudy skies, and negligible precipitation risk. This setup features subsidence warming beneath a ridge, keeping conditions drier and slightly warmer than the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 23.3°C for the date.
Trader-implied odds reflect this model agreement, with 27°C leading at 37.5% followed by 26°C (27%) and 28°C (18%). Minor spread in outputs arises from differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover timing, but ensembles remain tightly clustered without signals for significant deviation. Updated model runs closer to the event will refine exact peak values, particularly regarding afternoon insolation and any subtle steering changes. Historical extremes for September 3 reach 33.7°C, but current synoptic patterns show no analogs for such outliers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,426Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Current numerical weather prediction models show strong consensus for a maximum temperature near 27°C in Paris on September 3, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions.** Forecasts from sources using GFS and ECMWF data indicate highs of 26–28°C, with light west-to-southwest winds, partly cloudy skies, and negligible precipitation risk. This setup features subsidence warming beneath a ridge, keeping conditions drier and slightly warmer than the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 23.3°C for the date. Trader-implied odds reflect this model agreement, with 27°C leading at 37.5% followed by 26°C (27%) and 28°C (18%). Minor spread in outputs arises from differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover timing, but ensembles remain tightly clustered without signals for significant deviation. Updated model runs closer to the event will refine exact peak values, particularly regarding afternoon insolation and any subtle steering changes. Historical extremes for September 3 reach 33.7°C, but current synoptic patterns show no analogs for such outliers.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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