Recent forecasts from multiple models and the Meteorological Service Singapore indicate a partly cloudy day with scattered showers or thunderstorms on September 1, supporting trader emphasis on 32–33°C maxima. Singapore’s equatorial location and prevailing southwest monsoon winds deliver warm, humid air, with afternoon surface heating typically producing highs near the seasonal 31–32°C average; however, cloud cover and convective activity often prevent extremes above 34°C. Recent August observations, including multiple days exceeding 34°C amid drier regional conditions, have informed the 59.5% implied probability for 33°C, while the modest 11.5% chance for 34°C reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Singapore on September 1?
33°C 60%
32°C 28%
34°C 12%
31°C 4%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
28%
33°C
60%
34°C
12%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 60%
32°C 28%
34°C 12%
31°C 4%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
28%
33°C
60%
34°C
12%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models and the Meteorological Service Singapore indicate a partly cloudy day with scattered showers or thunderstorms on September 1, supporting trader emphasis on 32–33°C maxima. Singapore’s equatorial location and prevailing southwest monsoon winds deliver warm, humid air, with afternoon surface heating typically producing highs near the seasonal 31–32°C average; however, cloud cover and convective activity often prevent extremes above 34°C. Recent August observations, including multiple days exceeding 34°C amid drier regional conditions, have informed the 59.5% implied probability for 33°C, while the modest 11.5% chance for 34°C reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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