Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicate the overnight low for Paris on September 3 will likely fall between 16–18°C under high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light southwesterly winds that limit radiative cooling. This setup favors warmer minima than the 1991–2020 climatological average of roughly 13°C, with minimal cold-air advection expected ahead of any approaching Atlantic systems. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 15–17°C, reflecting model agreement on these benign conditions while allowing for small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud cover that could shift the reading by 1–2°C. Updated runs and Météo-France guidance over the next 24–48 hours will refine the final range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 3?
16°C 24%
15°C 22%
17°C 19%
14°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
11°C or below
13%
12°C
6%
13°C
11%
14°C
14%
15°C
22%
16°C
24%
17°C
19%
18°C
12%
19°C
5%
20°C
4%
21°C or higher
2%
16°C 24%
15°C 22%
17°C 19%
14°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
11°C or below
$5 Обс.
13%
12°C
$20 Обс.
6%
13°C
$0 Обс.
11%
14°C
$0 Обс.
14%
15°C
$0 Обс.
22%
16°C
$0 Обс.
24%
17°C
$0 Обс.
19%
18°C
$0 Обс.
12%
19°C
$41 Обс.
5%
20°C
$5 Обс.
4%
21°C or higher
$5 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicate the overnight low for Paris on September 3 will likely fall between 16–18°C under high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light southwesterly winds that limit radiative cooling. This setup favors warmer minima than the 1991–2020 climatological average of roughly 13°C, with minimal cold-air advection expected ahead of any approaching Atlantic systems. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 15–17°C, reflecting model agreement on these benign conditions while allowing for small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud cover that could shift the reading by 1–2°C. Updated runs and Météo-France guidance over the next 24–48 hours will refine the final range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$76Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicate the overnight low for Paris on September 3 will likely fall between 16–18°C under high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light southwesterly winds that limit radiative cooling. This setup favors warmer minima than the 1991–2020 climatological average of roughly 13°C, with minimal cold-air advection expected ahead of any approaching Atlantic systems. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 15–17°C, reflecting model agreement on these benign conditions while allowing for small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud cover that could shift the reading by 1–2°C. Updated runs and Météo-France guidance over the next 24–48 hours will refine the final range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$76Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicate the overnight low for Paris on September 3 will likely fall between 16–18°C under high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light southwesterly winds that limit radiative cooling. This setup favors warmer minima than the 1991–2020 climatological average of roughly 13°C, with minimal cold-air advection expected ahead of any approaching Atlantic systems. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 15–17°C, reflecting model agreement on these benign conditions while allowing for small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud cover that could shift the reading by 1–2°C. Updated runs and Météo-France guidance over the next 24–48 hours will refine the final range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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