Current numerical weather models, including GFS runs, indicate overnight lows for Paris on September 2 near the long-term climatological average of 13.1°C, with light northerly winds and increasing cloud cover limiting radiative cooling after a mild daytime high around 24–26°C. These conditions support the market's tight clustering around 13°C (36% implied probability) and 14°C (30%), as modest model spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of cloud arrival creates uncertainty between those two bins. Recent high-pressure dominance has kept anomalies small, though any earlier clearing could allow a dip toward 12°C while persistent clouds favor the higher end of the range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 2?
13°C 36%
15°C 31%
14°C 30%
16°C 28%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 2, 2026
10°C or below
11%
11°C
9%
12°C
9%
13°C
36%
14°C
30%
15°C
31%
16°C
28%
17°C
6%
18°C
4%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
13°C 36%
15°C 31%
14°C 30%
16°C 28%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 2, 2026
10°C or below
$0 Обс.
11%
11°C
$0 Обс.
9%
12°C
$20 Обс.
9%
13°C
$118 Обс.
36%
14°C
$218 Обс.
30%
15°C
$3 Обс.
31%
16°C
$20 Обс.
28%
17°C
$0 Обс.
6%
18°C
$45 Обс.
4%
19°C
$45 Обс.
1%
20°C or higher
$66 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models, including GFS runs, indicate overnight lows for Paris on September 2 near the long-term climatological average of 13.1°C, with light northerly winds and increasing cloud cover limiting radiative cooling after a mild daytime high around 24–26°C. These conditions support the market's tight clustering around 13°C (36% implied probability) and 14°C (30%), as modest model spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of cloud arrival creates uncertainty between those two bins. Recent high-pressure dominance has kept anomalies small, though any earlier clearing could allow a dip toward 12°C while persistent clouds favor the higher end of the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$536Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models, including GFS runs, indicate overnight lows for Paris on September 2 near the long-term climatological average of 13.1°C, with light northerly winds and increasing cloud cover limiting radiative cooling after a mild daytime high around 24–26°C. These conditions support the market's tight clustering around 13°C (36% implied probability) and 14°C (30%), as modest model spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of cloud arrival creates uncertainty between those two bins. Recent high-pressure dominance has kept anomalies small, though any earlier clearing could allow a dip toward 12°C while persistent clouds favor the higher end of the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$536Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models, including GFS runs, indicate overnight lows for Paris on September 2 near the long-term climatological average of 13.1°C, with light northerly winds and increasing cloud cover limiting radiative cooling after a mild daytime high around 24–26°C. These conditions support the market's tight clustering around 13°C (36% implied probability) and 14°C (30%), as modest model spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of cloud arrival creates uncertainty between those two bins. Recent high-pressure dominance has kept anomalies small, though any earlier clearing could allow a dip toward 12°C while persistent clouds favor the higher end of the range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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