A cold front advancing from the southwest on September 2–3 has shifted winds from northwest to west-southwest, replacing milder air with cooler, drier maritime polar air and introducing variable cloud cover and light rain. This setup creates uncertainty in overnight radiational cooling rates, with clearer periods potentially allowing lows near or below 9°C while lingering clouds or stronger winds could hold minima at 11–12°C. Early-spring climatology for Buenos Aires shows average September lows near 9°C, and current model consensus places the daily minimum in the 8–12°C range, consistent with closely matched market-implied probabilities around the 9°C threshold versus mid-teens outcomes. Updated forecast runs and clearing trends after frontal passage will likely refine the exact low before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 3?
19°C or higher 95%
16°C 50%
17°C 50%
11°C 28%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
9°C or below
47%
10°C
28%
11°C
28%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
26%
15°C
2%
16°C
50%
17°C
50%
18°C
12%
19°C or higher
95%
19°C or higher 95%
16°C 50%
17°C 50%
11°C 28%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
9°C or below
$6 Обс.
47%
10°C
$0 Обс.
28%
11°C
$0 Обс.
28%
12°C
$0 Обс.
27%
13°C
$0 Обс.
27%
14°C
$20 Обс.
26%
15°C
$7 Обс.
2%
16°C
$62 Обс.
50%
17°C
$62 Обс.
50%
18°C
$12 Обс.
12%
19°C or higher
$62 Обс.
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front advancing from the southwest on September 2–3 has shifted winds from northwest to west-southwest, replacing milder air with cooler, drier maritime polar air and introducing variable cloud cover and light rain. This setup creates uncertainty in overnight radiational cooling rates, with clearer periods potentially allowing lows near or below 9°C while lingering clouds or stronger winds could hold minima at 11–12°C. Early-spring climatology for Buenos Aires shows average September lows near 9°C, and current model consensus places the daily minimum in the 8–12°C range, consistent with closely matched market-implied probabilities around the 9°C threshold versus mid-teens outcomes. Updated forecast runs and clearing trends after frontal passage will likely refine the exact low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$231Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front advancing from the southwest on September 2–3 has shifted winds from northwest to west-southwest, replacing milder air with cooler, drier maritime polar air and introducing variable cloud cover and light rain. This setup creates uncertainty in overnight radiational cooling rates, with clearer periods potentially allowing lows near or below 9°C while lingering clouds or stronger winds could hold minima at 11–12°C. Early-spring climatology for Buenos Aires shows average September lows near 9°C, and current model consensus places the daily minimum in the 8–12°C range, consistent with closely matched market-implied probabilities around the 9°C threshold versus mid-teens outcomes. Updated forecast runs and clearing trends after frontal passage will likely refine the exact low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$231Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...A cold front advancing from the southwest on September 2–3 has shifted winds from northwest to west-southwest, replacing milder air with cooler, drier maritime polar air and introducing variable cloud cover and light rain. This setup creates uncertainty in overnight radiational cooling rates, with clearer periods potentially allowing lows near or below 9°C while lingering clouds or stronger winds could hold minima at 11–12°C. Early-spring climatology for Buenos Aires shows average September lows near 9°C, and current model consensus places the daily minimum in the 8–12°C range, consistent with closely matched market-implied probabilities around the 9°C threshold versus mid-teens outcomes. Updated forecast runs and clearing trends after frontal passage will likely refine the exact low before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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