Recent official forecasts from the UK Met Office and ensemble models such as GFS show a building high-pressure system over the UK driving mild, mostly dry conditions for London on September 1, with daytime maxima centered near the long-term average of 21.8°C. Westerly or southwesterly winds and variable cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty, with some model runs supporting 22°C and others 23°C as the peak under partly cloudy skies. This narrow spread explains the closely matched market-implied odds for those two outcomes, while lower probabilities for 21°C or 24°C reflect smaller divergences in steering patterns and insolation. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the distinction ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in London on September 1?
Highest temperature in London on September 1?
22°C 39%
23°C 29%
21°C 14%
24°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
19°C or below
2%
20°C
6%
21°C
14%
22°C
39%
23°C
29%
24°C
12%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
22°C 39%
23°C 29%
21°C 14%
24°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
19°C or below
$15 Обс.
2%
20°C
$0 Обс.
6%
21°C
$88 Обс.
14%
22°C
$504 Обс.
39%
23°C
$616 Обс.
29%
24°C
$148 Обс.
12%
25°C
$0 Обс.
2%
26°C
$37 Обс.
2%
27°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
29°C or higher
$11 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the UK Met Office and ensemble models such as GFS show a building high-pressure system over the UK driving mild, mostly dry conditions for London on September 1, with daytime maxima centered near the long-term average of 21.8°C. Westerly or southwesterly winds and variable cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty, with some model runs supporting 22°C and others 23°C as the peak under partly cloudy skies. This narrow spread explains the closely matched market-implied odds for those two outcomes, while lower probabilities for 21°C or 24°C reflect smaller divergences in steering patterns and insolation. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the distinction ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,408Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the UK Met Office and ensemble models such as GFS show a building high-pressure system over the UK driving mild, mostly dry conditions for London on September 1, with daytime maxima centered near the long-term average of 21.8°C. Westerly or southwesterly winds and variable cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty, with some model runs supporting 22°C and others 23°C as the peak under partly cloudy skies. This narrow spread explains the closely matched market-implied odds for those two outcomes, while lower probabilities for 21°C or 24°C reflect smaller divergences in steering patterns and insolation. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the distinction ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,408Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the UK Met Office and ensemble models such as GFS show a building high-pressure system over the UK driving mild, mostly dry conditions for London on September 1, with daytime maxima centered near the long-term average of 21.8°C. Westerly or southwesterly winds and variable cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty, with some model runs supporting 22°C and others 23°C as the peak under partly cloudy skies. This narrow spread explains the closely matched market-implied odds for those two outcomes, while lower probabilities for 21°C or 24°C reflect smaller divergences in steering patterns and insolation. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the distinction ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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