Recent forecast guidance from the Met Office and ensemble models points to a minimum temperature in London on September 1 near 13–16 °C under building high pressure, light westerly winds, and variable cloud cover that limits radiational cooling overnight. This range aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of about 12.8 °C for the date, while the potential for clearer skies or calmer conditions could allow brief dips toward 13 °C and any increase in cloud or mixing could keep readings closer to 15–16 °C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow spread and lingering model uncertainty on exact boundary-layer evolution, with traders assigning comparable weight to the 13 °C and 18 °C-or-higher outcomes as resolution nears.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on September 1?
Lowest temperature in London on September 1?
18°C or higher 61%
14°C 40%
13°C 40%
16°C 22%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
8°C or below
15%
9°C
15%
10°C
15%
11°C
20%
12°C
18%
13°C
40%
14°C
27%
15°C
20%
16°C
22%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
61%
18°C or higher 61%
14°C 40%
13°C 40%
16°C 22%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
8°C or below
$0 Обс.
15%
9°C
$0 Обс.
15%
10°C
$0 Обс.
15%
11°C
$0 Обс.
20%
12°C
$38 Обс.
18%
13°C
$0 Обс.
40%
14°C
$55 Обс.
27%
15°C
$0 Обс.
20%
16°C
$0 Обс.
22%
17°C
$0 Обс.
2%
18°C or higher
$0 Обс.
61%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from the Met Office and ensemble models points to a minimum temperature in London on September 1 near 13–16 °C under building high pressure, light westerly winds, and variable cloud cover that limits radiational cooling overnight. This range aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of about 12.8 °C for the date, while the potential for clearer skies or calmer conditions could allow brief dips toward 13 °C and any increase in cloud or mixing could keep readings closer to 15–16 °C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow spread and lingering model uncertainty on exact boundary-layer evolution, with traders assigning comparable weight to the 13 °C and 18 °C-or-higher outcomes as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$38Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from the Met Office and ensemble models points to a minimum temperature in London on September 1 near 13–16 °C under building high pressure, light westerly winds, and variable cloud cover that limits radiational cooling overnight. This range aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of about 12.8 °C for the date, while the potential for clearer skies or calmer conditions could allow brief dips toward 13 °C and any increase in cloud or mixing could keep readings closer to 15–16 °C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow spread and lingering model uncertainty on exact boundary-layer evolution, with traders assigning comparable weight to the 13 °C and 18 °C-or-higher outcomes as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$38Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from the Met Office and ensemble models points to a minimum temperature in London on September 1 near 13–16 °C under building high pressure, light westerly winds, and variable cloud cover that limits radiational cooling overnight. This range aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of about 12.8 °C for the date, while the potential for clearer skies or calmer conditions could allow brief dips toward 13 °C and any increase in cloud or mixing could keep readings closer to 15–16 °C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow spread and lingering model uncertainty on exact boundary-layer evolution, with traders assigning comparable weight to the 13 °C and 18 °C-or-higher outcomes as resolution nears.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання