Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and supporting models point to an overnight low of 14–15 °C in London on 31 August under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow. This consensus underpins the near-even market weighting between 15 °C and 16 °C. Mild Atlantic air advection, combined with residual moisture and limited nocturnal radiative cooling beneath variable cloud, prevents sharper drops, while any clearer breaks could allow brief cooling toward 14 °C. Historical late-August baselines near 13–14 °C provide context, but current steering patterns favor the milder outcome. Updated model runs and surface observations through the weekend will refine cloud timing and wind strength ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on August 31?
Lowest temperature in London on August 31?
15°C 39%
16°C 39%
14°C 19%
13°C 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
10°C or below
2%
11°C
12%
12°C
15%
13°C
16%
14°C
13%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
14%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
2%
15°C 39%
16°C 39%
14°C 19%
13°C 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
10°C or below
$0 Обс.
2%
11°C
$181 Обс.
12%
12°C
$31 Обс.
15%
13°C
$30 Обс.
16%
14°C
$32 Обс.
13%
15°C
$0 Обс.
39%
16°C
$195 Обс.
39%
17°C
$0 Обс.
14%
18°C
$50 Обс.
2%
19°C
$0 Обс.
2%
20°C or higher
$0 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and supporting models point to an overnight low of 14–15 °C in London on 31 August under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow. This consensus underpins the near-even market weighting between 15 °C and 16 °C. Mild Atlantic air advection, combined with residual moisture and limited nocturnal radiative cooling beneath variable cloud, prevents sharper drops, while any clearer breaks could allow brief cooling toward 14 °C. Historical late-August baselines near 13–14 °C provide context, but current steering patterns favor the milder outcome. Updated model runs and surface observations through the weekend will refine cloud timing and wind strength ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$519Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and supporting models point to an overnight low of 14–15 °C in London on 31 August under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow. This consensus underpins the near-even market weighting between 15 °C and 16 °C. Mild Atlantic air advection, combined with residual moisture and limited nocturnal radiative cooling beneath variable cloud, prevents sharper drops, while any clearer breaks could allow brief cooling toward 14 °C. Historical late-August baselines near 13–14 °C provide context, but current steering patterns favor the milder outcome. Updated model runs and surface observations through the weekend will refine cloud timing and wind strength ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$519Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and supporting models point to an overnight low of 14–15 °C in London on 31 August under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow. This consensus underpins the near-even market weighting between 15 °C and 16 °C. Mild Atlantic air advection, combined with residual moisture and limited nocturnal radiative cooling beneath variable cloud, prevents sharper drops, while any clearer breaks could allow brief cooling toward 14 °C. Historical late-August baselines near 13–14 °C provide context, but current steering patterns favor the milder outcome. Updated model runs and surface observations through the weekend will refine cloud timing and wind strength ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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