Latest Met Office guidance and ensemble models point to an overnight low of 15–17 °C in London on 30 August, driven by persistent cloud cover, light south-westerly flow, and residual moisture after Saturday’s showers. These conditions limit radiative cooling compared with clearer nights, keeping temperatures above the long-term August average of roughly 13 °C. Small differences among runs—chiefly the timing of any partial clearing and exact wind speeds—separate the 16 °C, 17 °C, and 18 °C outcomes, with the market assigning the highest implied probability (41.5 %) to 17 °C. Fresh model updates expected overnight and early on the 30th will likely refine the final minimum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on August 30?
Lowest temperature in London on August 30?
17°C 42%
16°C 33%
18°C 21%
15°C 2.8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
3%
16°C
33%
17°C
42%
18°C
21%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 42%
16°C 33%
18°C 21%
15°C 2.8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
11°C or below
$32 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$227 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$34 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$186 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$477 Обс.
3%
16°C
$2,028 Обс.
33%
17°C
$1,546 Обс.
42%
18°C
$909 Обс.
21%
19°C
$39 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$39 Обс.
<1%
21°C or higher
$61 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance and ensemble models point to an overnight low of 15–17 °C in London on 30 August, driven by persistent cloud cover, light south-westerly flow, and residual moisture after Saturday’s showers. These conditions limit radiative cooling compared with clearer nights, keeping temperatures above the long-term August average of roughly 13 °C. Small differences among runs—chiefly the timing of any partial clearing and exact wind speeds—separate the 16 °C, 17 °C, and 18 °C outcomes, with the market assigning the highest implied probability (41.5 %) to 17 °C. Fresh model updates expected overnight and early on the 30th will likely refine the final minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,580Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance and ensemble models point to an overnight low of 15–17 °C in London on 30 August, driven by persistent cloud cover, light south-westerly flow, and residual moisture after Saturday’s showers. These conditions limit radiative cooling compared with clearer nights, keeping temperatures above the long-term August average of roughly 13 °C. Small differences among runs—chiefly the timing of any partial clearing and exact wind speeds—separate the 16 °C, 17 °C, and 18 °C outcomes, with the market assigning the highest implied probability (41.5 %) to 17 °C. Fresh model updates expected overnight and early on the 30th will likely refine the final minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$5,580Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Latest Met Office guidance and ensemble models point to an overnight low of 15–17 °C in London on 30 August, driven by persistent cloud cover, light south-westerly flow, and residual moisture after Saturday’s showers. These conditions limit radiative cooling compared with clearer nights, keeping temperatures above the long-term August average of roughly 13 °C. Small differences among runs—chiefly the timing of any partial clearing and exact wind speeds—separate the 16 °C, 17 °C, and 18 °C outcomes, with the market assigning the highest implied probability (41.5 %) to 17 °C. Fresh model updates expected overnight and early on the 30th will likely refine the final minimum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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