Official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Station emphasize control by the subtropical high-pressure system, producing mostly clear to partly cloudy skies on September 3 with highs centered on 33–34 °C. Recent model runs and local observations show daytime solar heating under light winds and low humidity supporting peak temperatures near this range, while minor afternoon cloud build-up or basin-specific cooling could limit readings to 32 °C. International guidance exhibits slightly more spread, contributing to the tight market-implied probabilities between 33 °C and 34 °C as traders weigh official station data against potential microscale variations in the Sichuan Basin. Updated model consensus and any late-day observational adjustments remain the key near-term catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 3?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 3?
34°C 39%
33°C 31%
32°C 19%
35°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
3%
31°C
6%
32°C
19%
33°C
31%
34°C
39%
35°C
7%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
2%
34°C 39%
33°C 31%
32°C 19%
35°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
27°C or below
$56 Обс.
1%
28°C
$137 Обс.
1%
29°C
$40 Обс.
3%
30°C
$46 Обс.
3%
31°C
$132 Обс.
6%
32°C
$284 Обс.
19%
33°C
$164 Обс.
31%
34°C
$322 Обс.
39%
35°C
$239 Обс.
7%
36°C
$204 Обс.
4%
37°C or higher
$148 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Station emphasize control by the subtropical high-pressure system, producing mostly clear to partly cloudy skies on September 3 with highs centered on 33–34 °C. Recent model runs and local observations show daytime solar heating under light winds and low humidity supporting peak temperatures near this range, while minor afternoon cloud build-up or basin-specific cooling could limit readings to 32 °C. International guidance exhibits slightly more spread, contributing to the tight market-implied probabilities between 33 °C and 34 °C as traders weigh official station data against potential microscale variations in the Sichuan Basin. Updated model consensus and any late-day observational adjustments remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,773Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Station emphasize control by the subtropical high-pressure system, producing mostly clear to partly cloudy skies on September 3 with highs centered on 33–34 °C. Recent model runs and local observations show daytime solar heating under light winds and low humidity supporting peak temperatures near this range, while minor afternoon cloud build-up or basin-specific cooling could limit readings to 32 °C. International guidance exhibits slightly more spread, contributing to the tight market-implied probabilities between 33 °C and 34 °C as traders weigh official station data against potential microscale variations in the Sichuan Basin. Updated model consensus and any late-day observational adjustments remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,773Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Station emphasize control by the subtropical high-pressure system, producing mostly clear to partly cloudy skies on September 3 with highs centered on 33–34 °C. Recent model runs and local observations show daytime solar heating under light winds and low humidity supporting peak temperatures near this range, while minor afternoon cloud build-up or basin-specific cooling could limit readings to 32 °C. International guidance exhibits slightly more spread, contributing to the tight market-implied probabilities between 33 °C and 34 °C as traders weigh official station data against potential microscale variations in the Sichuan Basin. Updated model consensus and any late-day observational adjustments remain the key near-term catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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