Trader sentiment centers on official overnight minimum observations under persistent high-pressure influence from the subtropical ridge, promoting clear skies, light winds under 3 m/s, and efficient radiational cooling after daytime highs near 33–34°C. Forecast models from agencies like the Chengdu Meteorological Observatory and international ensembles converge on lows of 21–22°C, with minimal cloud cover and dew points around 15–18°C limiting further drops. Differentiation between the near-even 22°C and 21°C outcomes hinges on subtle variables including exact boundary-layer mixing, localized urban heat retention in the Sichuan Basin, and any late-night wind shifts, while probabilities below 20°C reflect historical rarity for early September under these stable conditions. Updated model runs overnight will refine the final resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Chengdu on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 2?
22°C 51%
21°C 50%
20°C 43%
19°C 41%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 2, 2026
17°C or below
23%
18°C
7%
19°C
41%
20°C
43%
21°C
50%
22°C
51%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 51%
21°C 50%
20°C 43%
19°C 41%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 2, 2026
17°C or below
$5 Обс.
23%
18°C
$51 Обс.
7%
19°C
$0 Обс.
41%
20°C
$0 Обс.
43%
21°C
$0 Обс.
50%
22°C
$0 Обс.
51%
23°C
$35 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$35 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$55 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$30 Обс.
<1%
27°C or higher
$30 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on official overnight minimum observations under persistent high-pressure influence from the subtropical ridge, promoting clear skies, light winds under 3 m/s, and efficient radiational cooling after daytime highs near 33–34°C. Forecast models from agencies like the Chengdu Meteorological Observatory and international ensembles converge on lows of 21–22°C, with minimal cloud cover and dew points around 15–18°C limiting further drops. Differentiation between the near-even 22°C and 21°C outcomes hinges on subtle variables including exact boundary-layer mixing, localized urban heat retention in the Sichuan Basin, and any late-night wind shifts, while probabilities below 20°C reflect historical rarity for early September under these stable conditions. Updated model runs overnight will refine the final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$241Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on official overnight minimum observations under persistent high-pressure influence from the subtropical ridge, promoting clear skies, light winds under 3 m/s, and efficient radiational cooling after daytime highs near 33–34°C. Forecast models from agencies like the Chengdu Meteorological Observatory and international ensembles converge on lows of 21–22°C, with minimal cloud cover and dew points around 15–18°C limiting further drops. Differentiation between the near-even 22°C and 21°C outcomes hinges on subtle variables including exact boundary-layer mixing, localized urban heat retention in the Sichuan Basin, and any late-night wind shifts, while probabilities below 20°C reflect historical rarity for early September under these stable conditions. Updated model runs overnight will refine the final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$241Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment centers on official overnight minimum observations under persistent high-pressure influence from the subtropical ridge, promoting clear skies, light winds under 3 m/s, and efficient radiational cooling after daytime highs near 33–34°C. Forecast models from agencies like the Chengdu Meteorological Observatory and international ensembles converge on lows of 21–22°C, with minimal cloud cover and dew points around 15–18°C limiting further drops. Differentiation between the near-even 22°C and 21°C outcomes hinges on subtle variables including exact boundary-layer mixing, localized urban heat retention in the Sichuan Basin, and any late-night wind shifts, while probabilities below 20°C reflect historical rarity for early September under these stable conditions. Updated model runs overnight will refine the final resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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