Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts points to mild southwesterly flow over the North Sea, limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures in the 12–17°C range for Amsterdam on September 4 amid widespread cloud cover and showers. Westerly winds of 7–12 m/s and high humidity near 85–90% further suppress sharp drops below seasonal averages of 11.9°C. Market-implied odds favoring 22°C or higher reflect trader weighting of model uncertainty in clearing timing and potential warmer marine air advection, while lower bins capture risks from localized cooling under breaks in cloud. Key upcoming inputs include updated high-resolution runs and observational adjustments from Schiphol station data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 4?
22°C or higher 81%
19°C 49%
18°C 30%
17°C 27%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
12°C or below
8%
13°C
13%
14°C
15%
15°C
5%
16°C
27%
17°C
27%
18°C
30%
19°C
49%
20°C
15%
21°C
8%
22°C or higher
81%
22°C or higher 81%
19°C 49%
18°C 30%
17°C 27%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Обс.
8%
13°C
$0 Обс.
13%
14°C
$0 Обс.
15%
15°C
$43 Обс.
5%
16°C
$0 Обс.
27%
17°C
$0 Обс.
27%
18°C
$0 Обс.
30%
19°C
$0 Обс.
49%
20°C
$0 Обс.
15%
21°C
$0 Обс.
8%
22°C or higher
$0 Обс.
81%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts points to mild southwesterly flow over the North Sea, limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures in the 12–17°C range for Amsterdam on September 4 amid widespread cloud cover and showers. Westerly winds of 7–12 m/s and high humidity near 85–90% further suppress sharp drops below seasonal averages of 11.9°C. Market-implied odds favoring 22°C or higher reflect trader weighting of model uncertainty in clearing timing and potential warmer marine air advection, while lower bins capture risks from localized cooling under breaks in cloud. Key upcoming inputs include updated high-resolution runs and observational adjustments from Schiphol station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$43Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts points to mild southwesterly flow over the North Sea, limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures in the 12–17°C range for Amsterdam on September 4 amid widespread cloud cover and showers. Westerly winds of 7–12 m/s and high humidity near 85–90% further suppress sharp drops below seasonal averages of 11.9°C. Market-implied odds favoring 22°C or higher reflect trader weighting of model uncertainty in clearing timing and potential warmer marine air advection, while lower bins capture risks from localized cooling under breaks in cloud. Key upcoming inputs include updated high-resolution runs and observational adjustments from Schiphol station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$43Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts points to mild southwesterly flow over the North Sea, limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures in the 12–17°C range for Amsterdam on September 4 amid widespread cloud cover and showers. Westerly winds of 7–12 m/s and high humidity near 85–90% further suppress sharp drops below seasonal averages of 11.9°C. Market-implied odds favoring 22°C or higher reflect trader weighting of model uncertainty in clearing timing and potential warmer marine air advection, while lower bins capture risks from localized cooling under breaks in cloud. Key upcoming inputs include updated high-resolution runs and observational adjustments from Schiphol station data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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