Recent short-range forecasts for Amsterdam show daytime maxima clustered near 20–23°C under a mild westerly flow typical of early September, keeping trader probabilities tightly bunched across those outcomes. Model consensus points to variable cloud cover and scattered showers that can limit peak insolation and cap temperatures, while brief clearer intervals or lighter winds could allow brief warming toward 24°C. Historical climatology places early-September highs around 20–21°C at Schiphol, providing a baseline that reinforces the market’s central clustering. With resolution only two days away, incremental updates from European numerical weather prediction runs on wind direction, timing of any rain bands, and boundary-layer mixing will likely drive the final shifts among the leading bins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 3?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 3?
22°C 48%
23°C 40%
21°C 16%
24°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
16%
22°C
48%
23°C
40%
24°C
11%
25°C or higher
2%
22°C 48%
23°C 40%
21°C 16%
24°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
15°C or below
$16 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$16 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$16 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$16 Обс.
1%
19°C
$16 Обс.
1%
20°C
$21 Обс.
2%
21°C
$16 Обс.
16%
22°C
$88 Обс.
48%
23°C
$34 Обс.
40%
24°C
$12 Обс.
11%
25°C or higher
$5 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts for Amsterdam show daytime maxima clustered near 20–23°C under a mild westerly flow typical of early September, keeping trader probabilities tightly bunched across those outcomes. Model consensus points to variable cloud cover and scattered showers that can limit peak insolation and cap temperatures, while brief clearer intervals or lighter winds could allow brief warming toward 24°C. Historical climatology places early-September highs around 20–21°C at Schiphol, providing a baseline that reinforces the market’s central clustering. With resolution only two days away, incremental updates from European numerical weather prediction runs on wind direction, timing of any rain bands, and boundary-layer mixing will likely drive the final shifts among the leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$259Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts for Amsterdam show daytime maxima clustered near 20–23°C under a mild westerly flow typical of early September, keeping trader probabilities tightly bunched across those outcomes. Model consensus points to variable cloud cover and scattered showers that can limit peak insolation and cap temperatures, while brief clearer intervals or lighter winds could allow brief warming toward 24°C. Historical climatology places early-September highs around 20–21°C at Schiphol, providing a baseline that reinforces the market’s central clustering. With resolution only two days away, incremental updates from European numerical weather prediction runs on wind direction, timing of any rain bands, and boundary-layer mixing will likely drive the final shifts among the leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$259Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts for Amsterdam show daytime maxima clustered near 20–23°C under a mild westerly flow typical of early September, keeping trader probabilities tightly bunched across those outcomes. Model consensus points to variable cloud cover and scattered showers that can limit peak insolation and cap temperatures, while brief clearer intervals or lighter winds could allow brief warming toward 24°C. Historical climatology places early-September highs around 20–21°C at Schiphol, providing a baseline that reinforces the market’s central clustering. With resolution only two days away, incremental updates from European numerical weather prediction runs on wind direction, timing of any rain bands, and boundary-layer mixing will likely drive the final shifts among the leading bins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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