Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate a highest temperature in Moscow on September 3 most likely between 18–22°C, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied odds around 17–21°C. A weakening anticyclone gives way to a frontal system from the west, introducing increased cloud cover, light precipitation potential, and reduced daytime heating that caps the peak near or slightly above the 19°C climatological average. Key uncertainties center on the exact timing of cooling advection and solar insolation under variable skies, with model runs showing modest spread in maximum values. Updated guidance from Roshydromet and the next ECMWF cycle will narrow resolution criteria as the event nears.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on September 3?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 3?
20°C 29%
18°C 28%
19°C 28%
21°C 17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
15°C or below
4%
16°C
7%
17°C
15%
18°C
28%
19°C
28%
20°C
29%
21°C
17%
22°C
7%
23°C
6%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 29%
18°C 28%
19°C 28%
21°C 17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
15°C or below
$5 Обс.
4%
16°C
$5 Обс.
7%
17°C
$0 Обс.
15%
18°C
$0 Обс.
28%
19°C
$0 Обс.
28%
20°C
$0 Обс.
29%
21°C
$0 Обс.
17%
22°C
$13 Обс.
7%
23°C
$5 Обс.
6%
24°C
$5 Обс.
<1%
25°C or higher
$5 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate a highest temperature in Moscow on September 3 most likely between 18–22°C, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied odds around 17–21°C. A weakening anticyclone gives way to a frontal system from the west, introducing increased cloud cover, light precipitation potential, and reduced daytime heating that caps the peak near or slightly above the 19°C climatological average. Key uncertainties center on the exact timing of cooling advection and solar insolation under variable skies, with model runs showing modest spread in maximum values. Updated guidance from Roshydromet and the next ECMWF cycle will narrow resolution criteria as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$38Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate a highest temperature in Moscow on September 3 most likely between 18–22°C, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied odds around 17–21°C. A weakening anticyclone gives way to a frontal system from the west, introducing increased cloud cover, light precipitation potential, and reduced daytime heating that caps the peak near or slightly above the 19°C climatological average. Key uncertainties center on the exact timing of cooling advection and solar insolation under variable skies, with model runs showing modest spread in maximum values. Updated guidance from Roshydromet and the next ECMWF cycle will narrow resolution criteria as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$38Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate a highest temperature in Moscow on September 3 most likely between 18–22°C, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied odds around 17–21°C. A weakening anticyclone gives way to a frontal system from the west, introducing increased cloud cover, light precipitation potential, and reduced daytime heating that caps the peak near or slightly above the 19°C climatological average. Key uncertainties center on the exact timing of cooling advection and solar insolation under variable skies, with model runs showing modest spread in maximum values. Updated guidance from Roshydromet and the next ECMWF cycle will narrow resolution criteria as the event nears.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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