Current forecasts for Beijing on September 4 indicate overnight lows of 18–21°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and dew points near 14–16°C that support moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs of 32–34°C. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models cluster around 18–20°C, reflecting typical early-September conditions with limited cold-air advection. Trader sentiment remains tightly balanced near 18–19°C because small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or subtle northerly shifts could alter minimum readings by 1–2°C, while probabilities for extremes below 16°C or above 21°C stay lower due to the absence of strong synoptic forcing. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date will likely refine these ranges.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Beijing on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 4?
15°C 95%
16°C 95%
17°C 95%
20°C 95%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
13°C or below
27%
14°C
16%
15°C
95%
16°C
95%
17°C
95%
18°C
50%
19°C
51%
20°C
95%
21°C
81%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
33%
15°C 95%
16°C 95%
17°C 95%
20°C 95%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
13°C or below
$149 Обс.
27%
14°C
$0 Обс.
16%
15°C
$0 Обс.
95%
16°C
$0 Обс.
95%
17°C
$0 Обс.
95%
18°C
$0 Обс.
50%
19°C
$0 Обс.
51%
20°C
$0 Обс.
95%
21°C
$0 Обс.
81%
22°C
$0 Обс.
2%
23°C or higher
$201 Обс.
33%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Beijing on September 4 indicate overnight lows of 18–21°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and dew points near 14–16°C that support moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs of 32–34°C. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models cluster around 18–20°C, reflecting typical early-September conditions with limited cold-air advection. Trader sentiment remains tightly balanced near 18–19°C because small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or subtle northerly shifts could alter minimum readings by 1–2°C, while probabilities for extremes below 16°C or above 21°C stay lower due to the absence of strong synoptic forcing. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date will likely refine these ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$350Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Beijing on September 4 indicate overnight lows of 18–21°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and dew points near 14–16°C that support moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs of 32–34°C. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models cluster around 18–20°C, reflecting typical early-September conditions with limited cold-air advection. Trader sentiment remains tightly balanced near 18–19°C because small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or subtle northerly shifts could alter minimum readings by 1–2°C, while probabilities for extremes below 16°C or above 21°C stay lower due to the absence of strong synoptic forcing. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date will likely refine these ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$350Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Beijing on September 4 indicate overnight lows of 18–21°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and dew points near 14–16°C that support moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs of 32–34°C. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models cluster around 18–20°C, reflecting typical early-September conditions with limited cold-air advection. Trader sentiment remains tightly balanced near 18–19°C because small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or subtle northerly shifts could alter minimum readings by 1–2°C, while probabilities for extremes below 16°C or above 21°C stay lower due to the absence of strong synoptic forcing. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date will likely refine these ranges.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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