**Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and international sources indicate a nighttime low of 25–26°C for September 5, 2026, as the dominant outcome, aligning with the market’s leading 26°C (43.5%) and 25°C (26.0%) shares.** Persistent high humidity, light to moderate southwesterly to westerly winds, and scattered showers from lingering moisture associated with a weakening tropical system and the northeast monsoon are preventing stronger radiational cooling. Daytime highs near 30–31°C and overnight readings holding in the mid-20s reflect typical early-September conditions under a broad trough, with no significant cold-air outbreak or clear-sky radiative cooling expected. Recent model runs show little day-to-day shift, supporting trader consensus around these narrow temperature bands while leaving modest probability for 24°C if showers persist longer into the night.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 5?
26°C 48%
25°C 24%
23°C 15%
27°C 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 5, 2026
20°C or below
9%
21°C
14%
22°C
10%
23°C
15%
24°C
10%
25°C
24%
26°C
48%
27°C
15%
28°C
11%
29°C
15%
30°C or higher
2%
26°C 48%
25°C 24%
23°C 15%
27°C 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 5, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Обс.
9%
21°C
$0 Обс.
14%
22°C
$0 Обс.
10%
23°C
$0 Обс.
15%
24°C
$35 Обс.
10%
25°C
$0 Обс.
24%
26°C
$162 Обс.
48%
27°C
$0 Обс.
15%
28°C
$0 Обс.
11%
29°C
$0 Обс.
15%
30°C or higher
$0 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and international sources indicate a nighttime low of 25–26°C for September 5, 2026, as the dominant outcome, aligning with the market’s leading 26°C (43.5%) and 25°C (26.0%) shares.**
Persistent high humidity, light to moderate southwesterly to westerly winds, and scattered showers from lingering moisture associated with a weakening tropical system and the northeast monsoon are preventing stronger radiational cooling. Daytime highs near 30–31°C and overnight readings holding in the mid-20s reflect typical early-September conditions under a broad trough, with no significant cold-air outbreak or clear-sky radiative cooling expected. Recent model runs show little day-to-day shift, supporting trader consensus around these narrow temperature bands while leaving modest probability for 24°C if showers persist longer into the night.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$197Дата завершення
Sep 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and international sources indicate a nighttime low of 25–26°C for September 5, 2026, as the dominant outcome, aligning with the market’s leading 26°C (43.5%) and 25°C (26.0%) shares.**
Persistent high humidity, light to moderate southwesterly to westerly winds, and scattered showers from lingering moisture associated with a weakening tropical system and the northeast monsoon are preventing stronger radiational cooling. Daytime highs near 30–31°C and overnight readings holding in the mid-20s reflect typical early-September conditions under a broad trough, with no significant cold-air outbreak or clear-sky radiative cooling expected. Recent model runs show little day-to-day shift, supporting trader consensus around these narrow temperature bands while leaving modest probability for 24°C if showers persist longer into the night.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$197Дата завершення
Sep 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and international sources indicate a nighttime low of 25–26°C for September 5, 2026, as the dominant outcome, aligning with the market’s leading 26°C (43.5%) and 25°C (26.0%) shares.** Persistent high humidity, light to moderate southwesterly to westerly winds, and scattered showers from lingering moisture associated with a weakening tropical system and the northeast monsoon are preventing stronger radiational cooling. Daytime highs near 30–31°C and overnight readings holding in the mid-20s reflect typical early-September conditions under a broad trough, with no significant cold-air outbreak or clear-sky radiative cooling expected. Recent model runs show little day-to-day shift, supporting trader consensus around these narrow temperature bands while leaving modest probability for 24°C if showers persist longer into the night.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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