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Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 4?

icon for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 4?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 4?

Sep 3

Sep 4

Sep 5

Sep 3

Sep 4

Sep 5

26°C 45%

25°C 44%

27°C 9.4%

24°C 5%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

$13,169 Обс.

26°C 45%

25°C 44%

27°C 9.4%

24°C 5%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

$13,169 Обс.

20°C or below

$1,328 Обс.

1%

21°C

$119 Обс.

1%

22°C

$316 Обс.

<1%

23°C

$854 Обс.

3%

24°C

$915 Обс.

5%

25°C

$4,916 Обс.

44%

26°C

$1,282 Обс.

45%

27°C

$640 Обс.

9%

28°C

$2,070 Обс.

3%

29°C

$637 Обс.

<1%

30°C or higher

$93 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus centers on a 25°C or 26°C minimum for Hong Kong on September 4, reflecting official forecasts and typical early-September conditions.** The Hong Kong Observatory projects a minimum of 25°C within a 25–29°C daily range under mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers and moderate rain probability, driven by northwest to northwesterly winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale. Multiple numerical models (including hourly outputs) show overnight temperatures bottoming near 24–25°C before dawn, consistent with the subtropical monsoon-influenced climate where persistent cloud cover and high humidity (75–95%) limit radiative cooling. Recent data reinforce this positioning: observed overnight lows in the preceding days have hovered around 24–27°C amid similar wind patterns and partial cloud, with no strong cold surge or clear-sky radiative event expected. Historical baselines for early September place average minima near 25°C, and current steering patterns show no immediate tropical cyclone influence to alter the thermal profile. Market-implied odds above 75% for 25–26°C capture this model consensus and the narrow uncertainty range typical 24–48 hours ahead of the overnight minimum observation window.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$13,169
Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus centers on a 25°C or 26°C minimum for Hong Kong on September 4, reflecting official forecasts and typical early-September conditions.** The Hong Kong Observatory projects a minimum of 25°C within a 25–29°C daily range under mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers and moderate rain probability, driven by northwest to northwesterly winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale. Multiple numerical models (including hourly outputs) show overnight temperatures bottoming near 24–25°C before dawn, consistent with the subtropical monsoon-influenced climate where persistent cloud cover and high humidity (75–95%) limit radiative cooling. Recent data reinforce this positioning: observed overnight lows in the preceding days have hovered around 24–27°C amid similar wind patterns and partial cloud, with no strong cold surge or clear-sky radiative event expected. Historical baselines for early September place average minima near 25°C, and current steering patterns show no immediate tropical cyclone influence to alter the thermal profile. Market-implied odds above 75% for 25–26°C capture this model consensus and the narrow uncertainty range typical 24–48 hours ahead of the overnight minimum observation window.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$13,169
Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Пов'язане

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 4?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 11 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «25°C» з 45%, далі «26°C» з 45%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 4?» згенерував $13.2K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Sep 2, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 4?», перегляньте 11 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 4?» — «25°C» з 45%. Наступний — «26°C» з 45%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 4?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.