Current forecast guidance from Environment Canada and global models points to a minimum temperature near 16–17°C on September 5 under clear skies and light northerly flow, favoring radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with the market’s clustered probabilities around mid-teens outcomes while the elevated share for 20°C+ reflects lingering model spread and the influence of Toronto’s urban heat island on the official reading. Key variables include exact timing of peak radiational cooling, dew-point trends near 15°C, and any subtle wind shifts that could limit surface temperature drops. Historical averages for the date sit near 15.6°C, so traders are weighing whether this setup produces a typical or slightly milder minimum before final observations resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Toronto on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Toronto on September 5?
20°C or higher 69%
10°C or below 59%
13°C 48%
14°C 48%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 5, 2026
10°C or below
59%
11°C
20%
12°C
20%
13°C
48%
14°C
48%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
25%
18°C
48%
19°C
48%
20°C or higher
69%
20°C or higher 69%
10°C or below 59%
13°C 48%
14°C 48%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 5, 2026
10°C or below
$0 Обс.
59%
11°C
$0 Обс.
20%
12°C
$0 Обс.
20%
13°C
$0 Обс.
48%
14°C
$0 Обс.
48%
15°C
$0 Обс.
27%
16°C
$0 Обс.
27%
17°C
$0 Обс.
25%
18°C
$0 Обс.
48%
19°C
$0 Обс.
48%
20°C or higher
$0 Обс.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from Environment Canada and global models points to a minimum temperature near 16–17°C on September 5 under clear skies and light northerly flow, favoring radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with the market’s clustered probabilities around mid-teens outcomes while the elevated share for 20°C+ reflects lingering model spread and the influence of Toronto’s urban heat island on the official reading. Key variables include exact timing of peak radiational cooling, dew-point trends near 15°C, and any subtle wind shifts that could limit surface temperature drops. Historical averages for the date sit near 15.6°C, so traders are weighing whether this setup produces a typical or slightly milder minimum before final observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 3, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 8:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from Environment Canada and global models points to a minimum temperature near 16–17°C on September 5 under clear skies and light northerly flow, favoring radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with the market’s clustered probabilities around mid-teens outcomes while the elevated share for 20°C+ reflects lingering model spread and the influence of Toronto’s urban heat island on the official reading. Key variables include exact timing of peak radiational cooling, dew-point trends near 15°C, and any subtle wind shifts that could limit surface temperature drops. Historical averages for the date sit near 15.6°C, so traders are weighing whether this setup produces a typical or slightly milder minimum before final observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 8:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance from Environment Canada and global models points to a minimum temperature near 16–17°C on September 5 under clear skies and light northerly flow, favoring radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with the market’s clustered probabilities around mid-teens outcomes while the elevated share for 20°C+ reflects lingering model spread and the influence of Toronto’s urban heat island on the official reading. Key variables include exact timing of peak radiational cooling, dew-point trends near 15°C, and any subtle wind shifts that could limit surface temperature drops. Historical averages for the date sit near 15.6°C, so traders are weighing whether this setup produces a typical or slightly milder minimum before final observations resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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