Persistent cloud cover and widespread rain from the outer circulation of Tropical Storm Saudel continue to limit daytime heating across northern Taiwan, keeping official Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on September 4 centered on 27–29°C highs amid 85–100% precipitation chances. Multiple numerical models converge on suppressed insolation and elevated humidity that cap surface temperatures, though brief breaks in cloud could allow modest warming toward 30–31°C in urban areas. Trader consensus reflected in the tightly matched 30°C (28.5%) and 31°C (29.0%) outcomes highlights uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and any late-day clearing, with lower probabilities assigned to drier scenarios that would permit 32°C or higher. Updated model runs and CWA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.