Forecast models from Chinese meteorological agencies and international sources indicate Chengdu's September 4 high will likely reach 32–34°C under persistent subtropical high-pressure influence, with partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation risk in the urban basin. Recent observations show daily maxima near or above 33°C through early September, consistent with the market's heaviest weighting on 33–35°C outcomes. Key variables include steering patterns from the western Pacific subtropical ridge, localized basin heating versus cloud cover from western mountain convection, and potential model spread on afternoon mixing. Lower probabilities for 36°C+ reflect limited intensification potential before a shift to increased moisture and cooling arrives mid-week, while sub-32°C scenarios hinge on unexpected early overcast or rainfall. Trader consensus captures this narrow range amid typical early-autumn variability.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 4?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 4?
34°C 34%
33°C 23%
35°C 18%
32°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
27°C or below
3%
28°C
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
11%
33°C
23%
34°C
34%
35°C
18%
36°C
6%
37°C or higher
3%
34°C 34%
33°C 23%
35°C 18%
32°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
27°C or below
$0 Обс.
3%
28°C
$0 Обс.
4%
29°C
$0 Обс.
4%
30°C
$24 Обс.
2%
31°C
$30 Обс.
3%
32°C
$4 Обс.
11%
33°C
$0 Обс.
23%
34°C
$0 Обс.
34%
35°C
$0 Обс.
18%
36°C
$44 Обс.
6%
37°C or higher
$100 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Chinese meteorological agencies and international sources indicate Chengdu's September 4 high will likely reach 32–34°C under persistent subtropical high-pressure influence, with partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation risk in the urban basin. Recent observations show daily maxima near or above 33°C through early September, consistent with the market's heaviest weighting on 33–35°C outcomes. Key variables include steering patterns from the western Pacific subtropical ridge, localized basin heating versus cloud cover from western mountain convection, and potential model spread on afternoon mixing. Lower probabilities for 36°C+ reflect limited intensification potential before a shift to increased moisture and cooling arrives mid-week, while sub-32°C scenarios hinge on unexpected early overcast or rainfall. Trader consensus captures this narrow range amid typical early-autumn variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$202Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Chinese meteorological agencies and international sources indicate Chengdu's September 4 high will likely reach 32–34°C under persistent subtropical high-pressure influence, with partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation risk in the urban basin. Recent observations show daily maxima near or above 33°C through early September, consistent with the market's heaviest weighting on 33–35°C outcomes. Key variables include steering patterns from the western Pacific subtropical ridge, localized basin heating versus cloud cover from western mountain convection, and potential model spread on afternoon mixing. Lower probabilities for 36°C+ reflect limited intensification potential before a shift to increased moisture and cooling arrives mid-week, while sub-32°C scenarios hinge on unexpected early overcast or rainfall. Trader consensus captures this narrow range amid typical early-autumn variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$202Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from Chinese meteorological agencies and international sources indicate Chengdu's September 4 high will likely reach 32–34°C under persistent subtropical high-pressure influence, with partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation risk in the urban basin. Recent observations show daily maxima near or above 33°C through early September, consistent with the market's heaviest weighting on 33–35°C outcomes. Key variables include steering patterns from the western Pacific subtropical ridge, localized basin heating versus cloud cover from western mountain convection, and potential model spread on afternoon mixing. Lower probabilities for 36°C+ reflect limited intensification potential before a shift to increased moisture and cooling arrives mid-week, while sub-32°C scenarios hinge on unexpected early overcast or rainfall. Trader consensus captures this narrow range amid typical early-autumn variability.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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