Recent forecast model runs from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show persistent clear skies and light northeast winds moderating daytime heating in Qingdao, supporting a highest temperature near 30–31 °C on September 4. Marine influence from the Yellow Sea and typical early-September climatology (average highs around 26–28 °C) cap extremes, while radiative warming under minimal cloud cover and low humidity push probabilities toward the upper end of seasonal norms. Close market clustering around 30–32 °C reflects minor model spread in maximum timing and local urban versus coastal gradients, with traders weighting the latest 48-hour guidance most heavily ahead of final resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 4?
31°C 32%
32°C 29%
30°C 22%
33°C 12%
26°C or below
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
5%
30°C
22%
31°C
32%
32°C
29%
33°C
12%
34°C
3%
35°C
8%
36°C or higher
5%
31°C 32%
32°C 29%
30°C 22%
33°C 12%
26°C or below
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
5%
30°C
22%
31°C
32%
32°C
29%
33°C
12%
34°C
3%
35°C
8%
36°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show persistent clear skies and light northeast winds moderating daytime heating in Qingdao, supporting a highest temperature near 30–31 °C on September 4. Marine influence from the Yellow Sea and typical early-September climatology (average highs around 26–28 °C) cap extremes, while radiative warming under minimal cloud cover and low humidity push probabilities toward the upper end of seasonal norms. Close market clustering around 30–32 °C reflects minor model spread in maximum timing and local urban versus coastal gradients, with traders weighting the latest 48-hour guidance most heavily ahead of final resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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