Current forecasts from multiple models for Qingdao on September 2 point to a daily maximum in the upper 20s °C, driven primarily by persistent northerly winds advecting cooler maritime air under mostly clear skies. This pattern limits peak heating despite strong solar insolation, with surface winds of 4–6 m/s enhancing mixing and suppressing extreme warmth. Traders' tight clustering around 29–30 °C versus 28 °C reflects minor ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind timing, alongside historical September averages near 26 °C. Resolution hinges on the official observed high from local stations, where even small shifts in frontal passage or cloud cover could differentiate the leading outcomes. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 2?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 2?
29°C 40%
30°C 37%
28°C 17%
26°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 2, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
11%
27°C
5%
28°C
17%
29°C
40%
30°C
37%
31°C
6%
32°C
5%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
1%
29°C 40%
30°C 37%
28°C 17%
26°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 2, 2026
24°C or below
$328 Обс.
1%
25°C
$196 Обс.
3%
26°C
$305 Обс.
11%
27°C
$57 Обс.
5%
28°C
$46 Обс.
17%
29°C
$295 Обс.
40%
30°C
$591 Обс.
37%
31°C
$61 Обс.
6%
32°C
$121 Обс.
5%
33°C
$80 Обс.
4%
34°C or higher
$789 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models for Qingdao on September 2 point to a daily maximum in the upper 20s °C, driven primarily by persistent northerly winds advecting cooler maritime air under mostly clear skies. This pattern limits peak heating despite strong solar insolation, with surface winds of 4–6 m/s enhancing mixing and suppressing extreme warmth. Traders' tight clustering around 29–30 °C versus 28 °C reflects minor ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind timing, alongside historical September averages near 26 °C. Resolution hinges on the official observed high from local stations, where even small shifts in frontal passage or cloud cover could differentiate the leading outcomes. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,870Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models for Qingdao on September 2 point to a daily maximum in the upper 20s °C, driven primarily by persistent northerly winds advecting cooler maritime air under mostly clear skies. This pattern limits peak heating despite strong solar insolation, with surface winds of 4–6 m/s enhancing mixing and suppressing extreme warmth. Traders' tight clustering around 29–30 °C versus 28 °C reflects minor ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind timing, alongside historical September averages near 26 °C. Resolution hinges on the official observed high from local stations, where even small shifts in frontal passage or cloud cover could differentiate the leading outcomes. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,870Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models for Qingdao on September 2 point to a daily maximum in the upper 20s °C, driven primarily by persistent northerly winds advecting cooler maritime air under mostly clear skies. This pattern limits peak heating despite strong solar insolation, with surface winds of 4–6 m/s enhancing mixing and suppressing extreme warmth. Traders' tight clustering around 29–30 °C versus 28 °C reflects minor ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind timing, alongside historical September averages near 26 °C. Resolution hinges on the official observed high from local stations, where even small shifts in frontal passage or cloud cover could differentiate the leading outcomes. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання