**Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources like the National Meteorological Center and international ensembles indicate northerly winds and partial clearing overnight, positioning the lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 1 near or below 20–22°C.** This aligns with the market's leading outcome of 16°C or below at 48% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on potential radiative cooling under clearer skies following recent cloudy periods and scattered showers. Historical climatology for early September shows average lows around 18–21°C at Qingdao stations, providing context for the elevated odds on cooler thresholds amid short-term model spread. Key upcoming factors include the final 48-hour forecast updates and official observations from Qingdao Liuting International Airport, which will determine resolution based on the verified daily minimum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 1?
18°C 49%
26°C or higher 43%
24°C 42%
25°C 41%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
16°C or below
2%
17°C
27%
18°C
49%
19°C
26%
20°C
27%
21°C
27%
22°C
22%
23°C
2%
24°C
42%
25°C
41%
26°C or higher
43%
18°C 49%
26°C or higher 43%
24°C 42%
25°C 41%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
16°C or below
$6 Обс.
2%
17°C
$0 Обс.
27%
18°C
$0 Обс.
49%
19°C
$0 Обс.
26%
20°C
$0 Обс.
27%
21°C
$0 Обс.
27%
22°C
$0 Обс.
22%
23°C
$0 Обс.
2%
24°C
$10 Обс.
42%
25°C
$140 Обс.
41%
26°C or higher
$5 Обс.
43%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources like the National Meteorological Center and international ensembles indicate northerly winds and partial clearing overnight, positioning the lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 1 near or below 20–22°C.** This aligns with the market's leading outcome of 16°C or below at 48% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on potential radiative cooling under clearer skies following recent cloudy periods and scattered showers. Historical climatology for early September shows average lows around 18–21°C at Qingdao stations, providing context for the elevated odds on cooler thresholds amid short-term model spread. Key upcoming factors include the final 48-hour forecast updates and official observations from Qingdao Liuting International Airport, which will determine resolution based on the verified daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$161Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources like the National Meteorological Center and international ensembles indicate northerly winds and partial clearing overnight, positioning the lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 1 near or below 20–22°C.** This aligns with the market's leading outcome of 16°C or below at 48% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on potential radiative cooling under clearer skies following recent cloudy periods and scattered showers. Historical climatology for early September shows average lows around 18–21°C at Qingdao stations, providing context for the elevated odds on cooler thresholds amid short-term model spread. Key upcoming factors include the final 48-hour forecast updates and official observations from Qingdao Liuting International Airport, which will determine resolution based on the verified daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$161Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources like the National Meteorological Center and international ensembles indicate northerly winds and partial clearing overnight, positioning the lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 1 near or below 20–22°C.** This aligns with the market's leading outcome of 16°C or below at 48% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on potential radiative cooling under clearer skies following recent cloudy periods and scattered showers. Historical climatology for early September shows average lows around 18–21°C at Qingdao stations, providing context for the elevated odds on cooler thresholds amid short-term model spread. Key upcoming factors include the final 48-hour forecast updates and official observations from Qingdao Liuting International Airport, which will determine resolution based on the verified daily minimum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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