Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 23–25°C for Mexico City on September 5, driven by increased cloud cover and scattered showers tied to the ongoing rainy season and tropical moisture influx. These conditions limit surface radiative heating while enhancing evaporative cooling, keeping maxima below the long-term September average of 25°C at the city's 2,240 m elevation. Market pricing favoring 26°C or higher reflects trader focus on potential model spreads, localized urban heat effects, or brief afternoon clearing that could allow brief warming spikes. Key variables include steering winds, convective timing, and any last-minute adjustments from CONAGUA or international guidance before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 5?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 5?
26°C 43%
27°C or higher 35%
25°C 19%
24°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 5, 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
19%
26°C
43%
27°C or higher
35%
26°C 43%
27°C or higher 35%
25°C 19%
24°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 5, 2026
17°C or below
$21 Обс.
1%
18°C
$5 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$0 Обс.
1%
22°C
$0 Обс.
1%
23°C
$95 Обс.
2%
24°C
$84 Обс.
4%
25°C
$189 Обс.
19%
26°C
$202 Обс.
43%
27°C or higher
$757 Обс.
35%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 23–25°C for Mexico City on September 5, driven by increased cloud cover and scattered showers tied to the ongoing rainy season and tropical moisture influx. These conditions limit surface radiative heating while enhancing evaporative cooling, keeping maxima below the long-term September average of 25°C at the city's 2,240 m elevation. Market pricing favoring 26°C or higher reflects trader focus on potential model spreads, localized urban heat effects, or brief afternoon clearing that could allow brief warming spikes. Key variables include steering winds, convective timing, and any last-minute adjustments from CONAGUA or international guidance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 3, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,353Дата завершення
Sep 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 8:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 23–25°C for Mexico City on September 5, driven by increased cloud cover and scattered showers tied to the ongoing rainy season and tropical moisture influx. These conditions limit surface radiative heating while enhancing evaporative cooling, keeping maxima below the long-term September average of 25°C at the city's 2,240 m elevation. Market pricing favoring 26°C or higher reflects trader focus on potential model spreads, localized urban heat effects, or brief afternoon clearing that could allow brief warming spikes. Key variables include steering winds, convective timing, and any last-minute adjustments from CONAGUA or international guidance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,353Дата завершення
Sep 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 8:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 23–25°C for Mexico City on September 5, driven by increased cloud cover and scattered showers tied to the ongoing rainy season and tropical moisture influx. These conditions limit surface radiative heating while enhancing evaporative cooling, keeping maxima below the long-term September average of 25°C at the city's 2,240 m elevation. Market pricing favoring 26°C or higher reflects trader focus on potential model spreads, localized urban heat effects, or brief afternoon clearing that could allow brief warming spikes. Key variables include steering winds, convective timing, and any last-minute adjustments from CONAGUA or international guidance before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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