Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a peak temperature of 29–30°C for Incheon on September 4, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge, clear to mostly sunny skies, and moderate northeasterly winds limiting daytime heating. These conditions align with late-summer climatology for the region, where daily highs typically range 27–31°C absent strong frontal systems or typhoon influence. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48% implied probability for 30°C and 27.5% for 29°C, tracks this model agreement, with lower odds on 31°C or higher underscoring limited upside potential from current atmospheric setup. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 4?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 4?
30°C 47%
29°C 28%
31°C 13%
28°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
7%
29°C
28%
30°C
47%
31°C
13%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
1%
30°C 47%
29°C 28%
31°C 13%
28°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
23°C or below
$291 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$0 Обс.
1%
25°C
$0 Обс.
1%
26°C
$0 Обс.
4%
27°C
$55 Обс.
4%
28°C
$0 Обс.
7%
29°C
$56 Обс.
28%
30°C
$283 Обс.
47%
31°C
$137 Обс.
13%
32°C
$28 Обс.
4%
33°C or higher
$50 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a peak temperature of 29–30°C for Incheon on September 4, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge, clear to mostly sunny skies, and moderate northeasterly winds limiting daytime heating. These conditions align with late-summer climatology for the region, where daily highs typically range 27–31°C absent strong frontal systems or typhoon influence. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48% implied probability for 30°C and 27.5% for 29°C, tracks this model agreement, with lower odds on 31°C or higher underscoring limited upside potential from current atmospheric setup. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$900Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a peak temperature of 29–30°C for Incheon on September 4, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge, clear to mostly sunny skies, and moderate northeasterly winds limiting daytime heating. These conditions align with late-summer climatology for the region, where daily highs typically range 27–31°C absent strong frontal systems or typhoon influence. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48% implied probability for 30°C and 27.5% for 29°C, tracks this model agreement, with lower odds on 31°C or higher underscoring limited upside potential from current atmospheric setup. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$900Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a peak temperature of 29–30°C for Incheon on September 4, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge, clear to mostly sunny skies, and moderate northeasterly winds limiting daytime heating. These conditions align with late-summer climatology for the region, where daily highs typically range 27–31°C absent strong frontal systems or typhoon influence. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48% implied probability for 30°C and 27.5% for 29°C, tracks this model agreement, with lower odds on 31°C or higher underscoring limited upside potential from current atmospheric setup. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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