Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a high near 70°F for Seattle on September 5, driven by a lingering upper-level low off the Oregon coast that maintains below-normal temperatures and periodic marine-layer influence across the Pacific Northwest. Light northerly to variable winds, increasing afternoon cloud cover, and dew points in the low-to-mid 50s are expected to cap daytime heating below the early-September climatological average of roughly 73°F. These conditions align with the market’s concentration of probability on 66–71°F outcomes, as traders weigh the balance between partial clearing that could briefly reach the low 70s and persistent stratus or showers that favor the upper 60s. Updated forecast discussions and morning model runs will be the next key inputs for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seattle on September 5?
68-69°F 34%
70-71°F 25%
66-67°F 18%
64-65°F 6%
59°F or below
1%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
18%
68-69°F
34%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
2%
78°F or higher
1%
68-69°F 34%
70-71°F 25%
66-67°F 18%
64-65°F 6%
59°F or below
1%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
18%
68-69°F
34%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
2%
78°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 3, 2026, 7:55 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a high near 70°F for Seattle on September 5, driven by a lingering upper-level low off the Oregon coast that maintains below-normal temperatures and periodic marine-layer influence across the Pacific Northwest. Light northerly to variable winds, increasing afternoon cloud cover, and dew points in the low-to-mid 50s are expected to cap daytime heating below the early-September climatological average of roughly 73°F. These conditions align with the market’s concentration of probability on 66–71°F outcomes, as traders weigh the balance between partial clearing that could briefly reach the low 70s and persistent stratus or showers that favor the upper 60s. Updated forecast discussions and morning model runs will be the next key inputs for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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