Recent forecasts indicate persistent cloud cover and widespread showers or thunderstorms over Tokyo on September 4, driven by a shift to northeasterly flow and increased moisture, which will limit solar heating and cap daytime maxima near 26–27 °C. Official guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models shows frequent precipitation (60–90 % probability) coinciding with peak heating hours, suppressing temperatures below early-September normals of ~29–30 °C. Subtle differences in rain timing, cloud optical thickness, and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight spread between the 26 °C and 27 °C outcomes; any delay in the main rain band or thinner stratiform cover could allow brief warming to 28 °C, while earlier or heavier showers would favor 26 °C or lower. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 4?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 4?
27°C 33%
26°C 29%
28°C 15%
25°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
21°C or below
3%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
13%
26°C
29%
27°C
33%
28°C
15%
29°C
3%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
4%
27°C 33%
26°C 29%
28°C 15%
25°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Обс.
3%
22°C
$0 Обс.
2%
23°C
$121 Обс.
2%
24°C
$29 Обс.
5%
25°C
$91 Обс.
13%
26°C
$50 Обс.
29%
27°C
$22 Обс.
33%
28°C
$185 Обс.
15%
29°C
$35 Обс.
3%
30°C
$13 Обс.
3%
31°C or higher
$0 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate persistent cloud cover and widespread showers or thunderstorms over Tokyo on September 4, driven by a shift to northeasterly flow and increased moisture, which will limit solar heating and cap daytime maxima near 26–27 °C. Official guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models shows frequent precipitation (60–90 % probability) coinciding with peak heating hours, suppressing temperatures below early-September normals of ~29–30 °C. Subtle differences in rain timing, cloud optical thickness, and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight spread between the 26 °C and 27 °C outcomes; any delay in the main rain band or thinner stratiform cover could allow brief warming to 28 °C, while earlier or heavier showers would favor 26 °C or lower. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$546Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate persistent cloud cover and widespread showers or thunderstorms over Tokyo on September 4, driven by a shift to northeasterly flow and increased moisture, which will limit solar heating and cap daytime maxima near 26–27 °C. Official guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models shows frequent precipitation (60–90 % probability) coinciding with peak heating hours, suppressing temperatures below early-September normals of ~29–30 °C. Subtle differences in rain timing, cloud optical thickness, and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight spread between the 26 °C and 27 °C outcomes; any delay in the main rain band or thinner stratiform cover could allow brief warming to 28 °C, while earlier or heavier showers would favor 26 °C or lower. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$546Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate persistent cloud cover and widespread showers or thunderstorms over Tokyo on September 4, driven by a shift to northeasterly flow and increased moisture, which will limit solar heating and cap daytime maxima near 26–27 °C. Official guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models shows frequent precipitation (60–90 % probability) coinciding with peak heating hours, suppressing temperatures below early-September normals of ~29–30 °C. Subtle differences in rain timing, cloud optical thickness, and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight spread between the 26 °C and 27 °C outcomes; any delay in the main rain band or thinner stratiform cover could allow brief warming to 28 °C, while earlier or heavier showers would favor 26 °C or lower. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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