**Trader consensus strongly favors a 25°C low for Hong Kong on September 3, 2026, at 95.5% implied probability.** Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and multiple numerical models project a daily minimum in the 24–26°C range, driven by northwest winds of 4–5 Beaufort associated with nearby tropical cyclone activity and a partly cloudy regime that limits overnight radiational cooling. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows near 25–26°C under similar wind patterns, reinforcing model consensus. Minor probabilities for 24°C or 26°C reflect residual uncertainty in exact timing of any showers or wind shifts, but current observations and short-range guidance show little divergence. Resolution depends on verified minimum from official stations; fresh model runs or unexpected convective activity overnight could still adjust the final reading within a narrow band.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 3?
25°C 95.5%
24°C 4%
21°C <1%
23°C <1%
НОВЕ
$17,836 Обс.
НОВЕ
$17,836 Обс.
Sep 3, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
96%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 95.5%
24°C 4%
21°C <1%
23°C <1%
НОВЕ
$17,836 Обс.
НОВЕ
$17,836 Обс.
Sep 3, 2026
20°C or below
$469 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$463 Обс.
1%
22°C
$787 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$916 Обс.
1%
24°C
$1,741 Обс.
4%
25°C
$3,005 Обс.
96%
26°C
$5,459 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$2,084 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$1,396 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$1,047 Обс.
<1%
30°C or higher
$470 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 25°C low for Hong Kong on September 3, 2026, at 95.5% implied probability.** Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and multiple numerical models project a daily minimum in the 24–26°C range, driven by northwest winds of 4–5 Beaufort associated with nearby tropical cyclone activity and a partly cloudy regime that limits overnight radiational cooling. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows near 25–26°C under similar wind patterns, reinforcing model consensus. Minor probabilities for 24°C or 26°C reflect residual uncertainty in exact timing of any showers or wind shifts, but current observations and short-range guidance show little divergence. Resolution depends on verified minimum from official stations; fresh model runs or unexpected convective activity overnight could still adjust the final reading within a narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$17,836Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 25°C low for Hong Kong on September 3, 2026, at 95.5% implied probability.** Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and multiple numerical models project a daily minimum in the 24–26°C range, driven by northwest winds of 4–5 Beaufort associated with nearby tropical cyclone activity and a partly cloudy regime that limits overnight radiational cooling. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows near 25–26°C under similar wind patterns, reinforcing model consensus. Minor probabilities for 24°C or 26°C reflect residual uncertainty in exact timing of any showers or wind shifts, but current observations and short-range guidance show little divergence. Resolution depends on verified minimum from official stations; fresh model runs or unexpected convective activity overnight could still adjust the final reading within a narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$17,836Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 25°C low for Hong Kong on September 3, 2026, at 95.5% implied probability.** Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and multiple numerical models project a daily minimum in the 24–26°C range, driven by northwest winds of 4–5 Beaufort associated with nearby tropical cyclone activity and a partly cloudy regime that limits overnight radiational cooling. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows near 25–26°C under similar wind patterns, reinforcing model consensus. Minor probabilities for 24°C or 26°C reflect residual uncertainty in exact timing of any showers or wind shifts, but current observations and short-range guidance show little divergence. Resolution depends on verified minimum from official stations; fresh model runs or unexpected convective activity overnight could still adjust the final reading within a narrow band.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання