Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble models point to a maximum of 31–32°C on September 7 under generally cloudy skies with isolated showers and light variable winds, producing the tight 35–37% market shares for those two outcomes. Persistent high humidity near 70–90% and reduced solar insolation from cloud cover limit daytime heating compared with clearer September climatology, while any earlier or heavier rain could cap readings near 30°C. A strengthening high-pressure ridge and approaching northeast monsoon flow introduce modest uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, keeping the 33°C+ tail probabilities low. Updated HKO briefings and afternoon model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 7?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 7?
32°C 37%
31°C 35%
30°C 18%
29°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 7, 2026
25°C or below
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
13%
30°C
18%
31°C
35%
32°C
37%
33°C
6%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
6%
32°C 37%
31°C 35%
30°C 18%
29°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 7, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Обс.
2%
26°C
$0 Обс.
2%
27°C
$0 Обс.
2%
28°C
$0 Обс.
1%
29°C
$0 Обс.
13%
30°C
$22 Обс.
18%
31°C
$0 Обс.
35%
32°C
$8 Обс.
37%
33°C
$41 Обс.
6%
34°C
$38 Обс.
5%
35°C or higher
$0 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble models point to a maximum of 31–32°C on September 7 under generally cloudy skies with isolated showers and light variable winds, producing the tight 35–37% market shares for those two outcomes. Persistent high humidity near 70–90% and reduced solar insolation from cloud cover limit daytime heating compared with clearer September climatology, while any earlier or heavier rain could cap readings near 30°C. A strengthening high-pressure ridge and approaching northeast monsoon flow introduce modest uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, keeping the 33°C+ tail probabilities low. Updated HKO briefings and afternoon model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$108Дата завершення
Sep 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble models point to a maximum of 31–32°C on September 7 under generally cloudy skies with isolated showers and light variable winds, producing the tight 35–37% market shares for those two outcomes. Persistent high humidity near 70–90% and reduced solar insolation from cloud cover limit daytime heating compared with clearer September climatology, while any earlier or heavier rain could cap readings near 30°C. A strengthening high-pressure ridge and approaching northeast monsoon flow introduce modest uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, keeping the 33°C+ tail probabilities low. Updated HKO briefings and afternoon model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$108Дата завершення
Sep 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble models point to a maximum of 31–32°C on September 7 under generally cloudy skies with isolated showers and light variable winds, producing the tight 35–37% market shares for those two outcomes. Persistent high humidity near 70–90% and reduced solar insolation from cloud cover limit daytime heating compared with clearer September climatology, while any earlier or heavier rain could cap readings near 30°C. A strengthening high-pressure ridge and approaching northeast monsoon flow introduce modest uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, keeping the 33°C+ tail probabilities low. Updated HKO briefings and afternoon model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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